BlackBerry Stock Rise: From Phones To Cars And Robotics Software

9 min read
4 views
Aug 28, 2026

BlackBerry once ruled phones then nearly vanished. Now its software powers millions of cars and is eyeing robots. The stock has already doubled this year but the bigger story is just starting to unfold.

Financial market analysis from 28/08/2026. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Remember those days when almost everyone in the office carried a little rectangular device with a physical keyboard that clicked satisfyingly under your thumbs? I still catch myself thinking about the phrase people used to toss around casually: “BBM me.” It felt exclusive, almost like a secret club. That brand once sat at the center of mobile communication. Today the company behind it looks completely different, and the shift is more interesting than most people realize.

How BlackBerry Rebuilt Itself After Losing The Phone Market

The story starts with a hard fall. After the arrival of touchscreen smartphones, the old hardware-focused model simply could not keep up. Devices came and went. Attempts to stay relevant in consumer hands stretched longer than many expected, yet the outcome remained the same. What followed was not a quiet fade-out. Instead the company quietly rebuilt around software that most of us never see but that sits inside systems where failure is simply not allowed.

Two core areas now generate the bulk of revenue. One is secure communications aimed at governments and organizations that need encrypted messaging they can trust. The other is QNX, an operating system and related embedded software used in vehicles. That second piece has become the real engine of the current narrative.

The Quiet Strength Of QNX In Modern Vehicles

QNX runs in more than 275 million vehicles according to company figures. That number alone stops me in my tracks. Think about the range of functions it supports: braking systems, various driver-assistance features, even elements that edge toward semi-autonomous operation. Safety-critical code demands a different level of reliability than the apps we swipe through every day. One small glitch can carry serious consequences, so the standards are exceptionally high.

I’ve found that this focus on dependability creates an interesting advantage. When an industry starts talking seriously about physical AI — systems that move and interact with the real world — the same qualities that keep a car’s software trustworthy become valuable elsewhere. Industrial robots, medical equipment, factory automation: all of them need software that does not freeze or behave unpredictably.

While the products that we offer to our customers around the world can’t necessarily be held in the palm of your hands like the old devices, those values of security, trust and innovation still shine through in the software and services and the other solutions that we deliver to the market today.

That statement from the current chief executive captures the tone of the new BlackBerry. The brand still carries the memory of those early smartphones, yet the actual business has moved far beyond them. Investors appear to notice. Shares have roughly doubled this year even though they remain well below the peaks of nearly two decades ago. Momentum like that rarely arrives by accident.

Robotics As The Next Growth Frontier

When the conversation turns to robots, most people picture the humanoid machines that fill social media clips. The company takes a more practical view. Its interest lies in industrial settings, factory floors, and medical environments where precision and safety matter more than walking on two legs. Robotics already ranks among the fastest-growing parts of the QNX portfolio.

A backlog of orders for QNX sits around 950 million dollars. A portion of that total comes from robotics work, although exact figures remain undisclosed. Still, the presence of any meaningful robotics contribution inside a backlog of that size signals real commercial traction rather than pure speculation.

In my experience, markets often reward companies that manage to translate technical strength into recurring revenue streams. Embedded software tends to stick around for years once it is designed into a platform. That stickiness can create a more predictable base than the rapid product cycles of consumer electronics.

Why Safety Standards Create Competitive Moats

Building software for systems that control motion requires certification processes that take time and money. Those same barriers discourage casual entrants. A company that already holds the necessary credentials and has proven deployments across hundreds of millions of vehicles starts with a clear edge when new opportunities appear in adjacent fields.

Consider the difference between writing an app that runs on a phone and writing code that must continue functioning correctly even if other components fail. The latter demands rigorous testing, formal verification techniques, and a culture that treats every edge case as potentially critical. That culture does not appear overnight.

  • Proven presence inside braking and control systems
  • Experience meeting automotive safety requirements
  • Ability to extend the same reliability mindset into robotics
  • Existing relationships with manufacturers who already trust the software

Each of those points compounds over time. Once a platform is certified and integrated, switching costs rise. Manufacturers prefer to work with partners they already understand rather than start the qualification process from scratch.

Secure Communications Still Matters

While QNX draws most of the attention right now, the secure communications side of the business continues to serve governments and other high-security customers. Encrypted messaging and related tools remain relevant in an era of increasing cyber threats. That segment provides diversification and reinforces the company’s reputation for trustworthiness.

Perhaps the most interesting aspect is how the two businesses reinforce each other. Expertise in hardening systems against interference or unauthorized access translates well into automotive and industrial environments where cyber-physical risks are rising. A compromised vehicle or factory robot is not just a data problem; it becomes a physical safety problem.


Investor Perspective On The Turnaround

Share price movement this year has been notable. Doubling from depressed levels still leaves room for debate about absolute valuation, yet the direction reflects growing confidence in the software strategy. Markets tend to move ahead of full financial results when they sense a credible narrative taking shape.

I’ve watched several technology companies attempt similar pivots. Many talk about software transitions. Fewer actually deliver consistent revenue from the new areas while managing the decline of older businesses. The current trajectory suggests BlackBerry has moved past the experimental stage.

Physical AI remains an emerging category. Self-driving features continue to advance in stages rather than in a single leap. Industrial automation is already more mature, yet the addition of greater autonomy and intelligence opens fresh layers of opportunity. Software that can guarantee real-time performance under strict safety constraints sits at the foundation of those advances.

What Sets This Reinvention Apart

Plenty of once-dominant hardware brands have tried to reinvent themselves. Some succeeded by moving into services or cloud platforms. Others struggled because they lacked a unique technical foundation. BlackBerry’s advantage lies in years of experience with real-time operating systems designed for constrained, high-stakes environments.

That background is hard to replicate quickly. New entrants can write impressive demonstrations, but moving from lab prototypes to production systems certified for safety takes longer and costs more than many outsiders expect. Existing deployments create a reference base that new competitors must overcome.

Business AreaPrimary FocusStrategic Advantage
QNX AutomotiveEmbedded OS and safety systemsInstalled base of 275 million vehicles
RoboticsIndustrial and medical platformsFastest-growing segment within QNX
Secure CommunicationsEncrypted government solutionsReputation for high-trust environments

Looking at the table, the connections become clearer. Each area draws on overlapping skills in reliability and security. That overlap reduces the risk of spreading resources too thin.

Challenges That Still Remain

No turnaround is without friction. Competition in automotive software continues to intensify as traditional suppliers and newer technology players all chase the same opportunity. Pricing pressure can appear once platforms mature. Expanding into robotics requires building new relationships and demonstrating value in environments that differ from passenger vehicles.

Execution risk never disappears completely. Hiring the right talent, maintaining quality as volume grows, and balancing short-term results against long-term platform investments all demand careful management. The company has shown it can navigate difficult transitions before, yet past performance never guarantees future outcomes.

Still, the current positioning feels more coherent than the prolonged attempts to revive consumer devices. Focusing on areas where the technical DNA actually fits creates a clearer path forward.

The Broader Meaning Of Physical AI

Physical AI is more than a marketing phrase. It describes systems that sense the environment, make decisions, and then act in the physical world. Cars, warehouse robots, surgical tools, and industrial machinery all fall under that umbrella once they gain greater autonomy. The software layer that keeps those systems safe and responsive becomes foundational infrastructure.

Companies that already understand how to deliver deterministic behavior under tight timing constraints hold an edge. Timing matters when a robot arm must stop within milliseconds or when a vehicle needs to adjust braking based on sensor data. Soft real-time systems that work fine for office applications often fall short in these scenarios.

BlackBerry’s emphasis on this domain feels deliberate rather than opportunistic. The same qualities that once made its messaging service feel secure now apply to code that controls physical motion. Continuity of values across very different products is rarer than it sounds.

Looking Ahead At The Roadmap

The coming years will test whether the robotics portion of the backlog converts into sustained revenue growth. Success would validate the thesis that automotive experience transfers effectively into other physical domains. Continued expansion of the vehicle installed base would reinforce the core franchise.

Secure communications may not generate the same headlines, yet steady performance there supports overall stability. Together the pieces form a business that looks far more focused than the multi-product hardware company of the past.

I keep coming back to the idea of trust. Whether the customer is a government agency or an automotive manufacturer, the decision to rely on a particular software platform rests on confidence that it will perform as promised under pressure. Building that confidence takes years of consistent delivery. Once established, it becomes a valuable asset that is difficult for competitors to erode quickly.


Lessons From A Long Transformation

Watching a company move from near-irrelevance in one market to meaningful presence in another offers useful perspective. The process is rarely linear. There are false starts, difficult quarters, and moments when the strategy still looks incomplete. Persistence around a core technical strength appears to matter more than chasing every new trend.

In this case the strength was always real-time reliability and security. Applying that strength to cars and now to robots required patience and a willingness to step away from the consumer spotlight. Not every organization would make that choice. Some cling to past glories longer than is healthy.

The current chapter feels more grounded. Revenue from software that sits deep inside other products tends to be less glamorous but more durable. Investors who once measured success by device shipments now look at design wins, backlog figures, and expansion into adjacent markets. That shift in metrics mirrors the shift in the underlying business.

Whether the robotics opportunity scales as hoped remains an open question. Early signs are encouraging, and the installed base in vehicles provides a solid foundation. For a brand that many had written off years ago, simply reaching this point represents a substantial achievement.

The old click of the keyboard is gone. In its place sits software that most drivers never notice yet that helps keep their vehicles functioning safely. That quieter role may prove more lasting than the flashy consumer era ever was. Time will tell how far the next stage can go, but the direction is clearer now than it has been in a long while.

Markets reward clarity when it is backed by measurable progress. The doubling of the share price this year reflects growing belief that the software-focused strategy is working. Continued execution on the automotive side combined with meaningful traction in robotics would strengthen that belief further. For now the story remains one of careful reinvention rather than sudden breakthrough, and that measured pace may be exactly what the situation requires.

Looking across the full arc, from dominant phone maker to specialist in critical embedded systems, the transformation stands out for its consistency of underlying principles. Security, trust, and reliability never left the center of the company’s identity. Only the form in which those principles appear has changed. That continuity gives the current strategy a coherence that pure opportunistic pivots often lack.

As physical AI moves from concept toward wider deployment, the need for dependable foundational software will only increase. Companies already operating inside that space with proven track records start from a position of strength. BlackBerry has spent years building exactly that kind of record inside vehicles. Extending it outward looks like a logical next step rather than a leap into the unknown.

The coming period will reveal how large the robotics contribution can become and whether automotive design wins continue at a healthy rate. Those details will matter more than any single quarterly number. What already seems clear is that the company has found a more sustainable identity than the one it left behind. For anyone who still associates the name only with those old devices, the current reality offers a useful reminder that industries evolve and so can the players inside them.

One final thought: the most successful technology shifts often look obvious only in hindsight. At the time they require conviction that the old model no longer serves and that a quieter, more specialized role can create greater long-term value. BlackBerry appears to have made that calculation and is now working through the practical consequences. The early results, including the share price recovery, suggest the calculation was sound. The next chapters will show how far the new foundation can carry the company.

The most important investment you can make is in yourself.
— Forest Whitaker
Author

Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

Related Articles

?>