Dan Loeb’s Q1 2025 Stock Picks Unveiled

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May 15, 2025

Dan Loeb's Third Point made bold Q1 2025 moves, snapping up AT&T and Nvidia. What’s behind these picks, and what’s next for the fund? Click to find out!

Financial market analysis from 15/05/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Have you ever wondered what goes on in the mind of a hedge fund titan like Dan Loeb? The kind of investor who can move markets with a single trade, whose every move is scrutinized by analysts and retail investors alike? In the first quarter of 2025, Loeb’s Third Point hedge fund made waves with a series of bold stock purchases, offering a rare glimpse into the strategies of one of Wall Street’s most enigmatic figures. From telecom giants to cutting-edge chipmakers, these picks aren’t just trades—they’re a statement about where the market might be headed.

A Peek Inside Third Point’s Q1 2025 Playbook

Dan Loeb, the founder of Third Point since 1995, has built a reputation as an activist investor who doesn’t just buy stocks—he shakes things up. His fund’s latest securities filing, released in May 2025, reveals a flurry of activity: seven new stock positions, each valued at over $100 million, alongside some surprising exits. What’s driving these moves? Let’s unpack the highlights and explore what they mean for investors like you and me.


AT&T: A Telecom Bet with Dividend Appeal

One of Third Point’s most intriguing new positions is in AT&T, valued at approximately $106 million. Why would a hedge fund known for high-flying tech bets turn to a telecom stalwart? For starters, AT&T has been a standout performer in 2025, with its stock climbing about 20% year-to-date, not counting its juicy dividend yield. In my view, this pick reflects Loeb’s knack for spotting value plays—companies that might be undervalued but have strong fundamentals.

AT&T’s steady cash flow and dividend make it a safe harbor in volatile markets.

– Market analyst

AT&T’s appeal lies in its stability. With a robust network infrastructure and a loyal customer base, it’s a company that thrives even when economic winds shift. Perhaps Loeb sees it as a hedge against market uncertainty, especially after the volatility sparked by President Trump’s tariff rollout in April 2025. But here’s a question: Is this a long-term hold, or a tactical move to capitalize on short-term gains?

Nvidia: Riding the AI and Chip Wave

Another headline-grabbing addition is Nvidia, with a stake worth $157 million as of March 31, 2025. This move aligns with the broader market’s obsession with artificial intelligence and semiconductor growth. Nvidia, a leader in AI chips, has been a darling of investors, and Third Point’s bet suggests confidence in the company’s continued dominance.

Interestingly, this isn’t Third Point’s only chip play. The fund also holds a nearly $300 million position in Taiwan Semiconductor, a key supplier to the global tech industry. Together, these stakes signal a strong belief in the semiconductor sector as a driver of future growth. But there’s a twist: Loeb hinted in April that he had trimmed most of his Magnificent 7 holdings, raising questions about whether Nvidia remains in the portfolio post-Q1.

  • Nvidia’s strength: Unmatched expertise in AI and gaming chips.
  • Taiwan Semiconductor’s edge: A critical player in global chip supply chains.
  • Market outlook: Semiconductors are poised for growth as AI adoption accelerates.

I’ve always found the chip sector fascinating—it’s like the backbone of the digital age. But with tariffs and geopolitical tensions looming, it’s a bold bet. What do you think: Is Loeb doubling down on tech’s future, or hedging his bets with diversified picks?


Casey’s General Store: A Retail Surprise

Not every new position is a tech juggernaut. Third Point’s $130 million stake in Casey’s General Store, a convenience store chain, caught my eye as a bit of a curveball. Why a regional retailer? Casey’s operates over 2,500 stores, primarily in the Midwest, and has been expanding its footprint and digital offerings. This pick feels like a nod to defensive investing—betting on a company that thrives regardless of economic cycles.

Retail can be a tough sector, but Casey’s has carved out a niche with its loyal customer base and focus on prepared foods, like pizza. Maybe Loeb sees untapped potential here, especially as consumers prioritize convenience. It’s a reminder that even hedge fund giants look beyond the obvious for opportunities.

Other Notable Additions

Third Point didn’t stop there. The fund added several other positions worth over $100 million, each offering a glimpse into Loeb’s broader strategy:

  • Talen Energy: A $120 million stake in this power generation company, likely a play on rising energy demand.
  • CoStar Group: A $110 million position in this real estate data provider, signaling interest in property markets.
  • Kenvue: A consumer health company, adding diversification to the portfolio.
  • U.S. Steel: A nod to industrial strength amid shifting trade policies.

These picks paint a picture of a fund balancing growth and stability. It’s like Loeb is building a portfolio that can weather storms while still chasing upside. I can’t help but admire the chess-like precision of it all.


Saying Goodbye to Tech Titans

While Third Point was busy buying, it also made some high-profile exits. The fund completely sold out of Meta Platforms and Tesla in Q1, and reduced its stakes in Amazon and Microsoft. This move is particularly striking given Loeb’s April comments about shedding most of his Magnificent 7 holdings. Was this a reaction to overvaluation concerns, or a strategic pivot?

Tech giants face increasing scrutiny, making diversification a smart move.

– Investment strategist

The timing is curious. These sales occurred before the market turbulence following the April 2 tariff announcement, which sent tech stocks on a rollercoaster. Did Loeb see the writing on the wall, or was this just portfolio rebalancing? Either way, it’s a bold call to step back from some of tech’s biggest names.

The Tariff Wildcard

One thing to keep in mind: Third Point’s Q1 filing only covers trades through March 31, 2025. The market landscape shifted dramatically in April with President Trump’s tariff rollout, which sparked volatility across sectors. It’s entirely possible that Loeb adjusted his positions in response—perhaps trimming Nvidia or doubling down on AT&T. Without real-time data, we’re left to speculate.

This uncertainty is what makes following hedge funds so thrilling. It’s like watching a high-stakes poker game where the cards are only partially revealed. My guess? Loeb’s team is navigating these choppy waters with a mix of caution and opportunism.


What Third Point’s Moves Mean for You

So, what can retail investors take away from Third Point’s Q1 2025 activity? For one, it’s a reminder that even the pros diversify. Loeb’s portfolio spans telecom, tech, retail, energy, and more, suggesting a strategy that balances growth and stability. Here’s a quick breakdown of key lessons:

SectorThird Point’s PlayInvestor Takeaway
TelecomAT&T ($106M)Look for value stocks with strong dividends.
SemiconductorsNvidia ($157M), Taiwan Semiconductor ($300M)Bet on AI and tech infrastructure.
RetailCasey’s General Store ($130M)Consider defensive, niche players.
Energy/Real EstateTalen Energy, CoStar GroupDiversify into non-tech growth areas.

Another takeaway is the importance of staying nimble. Loeb’s exit from Meta and Tesla shows that even blockbuster stocks can lose their shine. As an investor, it’s worth asking: Are you holding onto a stock just because it’s popular, or does it still fit your strategy?

The Bigger Picture: Loeb’s Track Record

Dan Loeb isn’t just any investor—he’s a Wall Street legend. Since founding Third Point, he’s delivered outsized returns, with the flagship fund gaining 24.2% in 2024, edging out the S&P 500’s 23.3%. His activist approach, where he pushes for changes at underperforming companies, has earned him both admirers and critics. But one thing’s clear: when Loeb makes a move, people listen.

I find his ability to blend activism with opportunistic investing particularly inspiring. It’s not just about picking stocks; it’s about shaping their future. Whether he’s buying AT&T or betting on Nvidia, each move is a calculated step in a larger game.


What’s Next for Third Point?

As we look ahead, the big question is how Third Point will navigate the post-tariff market. Will Loeb lean further into defensive picks like AT&T and Casey’s, or double down on growth sectors like semiconductors? And what about his activist roots—could we see him shake up one of his new holdings, like U.S. Steel or Talen Energy?

For now, the Q1 2025 filing offers a snapshot of a fund in transition. It’s a mix of bold bets and cautious plays, reflecting the complex market environment of early 2025. As an investor, I’m excited to see what Loeb does next. His moves are like a masterclass in balancing risk and reward.

Investing is about seeing opportunities where others see obstacles.

– Hedge fund manager

In the end, Third Point’s Q1 2025 moves are a reminder that the market is never static. Whether you’re a retail investor or just a curious observer, there’s value in studying the plays of someone like Dan Loeb. So, what’s your next move? Are you inspired to dig into AT&T or Nvidia, or are you waiting for the next big reveal? The market’s always got another surprise up its sleeve.

You get recessions, you have stock market declines. If you don't understand that's going to happen, then you're not ready, you won't do well in the markets.
— Peter Lynch
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