Senate Tax Plan: Permanent TCJA Cuts Explained

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Jun 18, 2025

The Senate's new tax plan could slash your 2026 taxes with permanent TCJA cuts. But what’s in it for you? Click to uncover the details...

Financial market analysis from 18/06/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Have you ever stared at your tax return, wondering if next year’s bill might lighten up? I know I have, flipping through forms and hoping for a break. With the Senate Finance Committee’s recent unveiling of its tax plan, that hope feels closer to reality. This isn’t just another dry policy update—it’s a game-changer for your wallet, promising to lock in the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) benefits and toss in new perks. Let’s dive into what this means for you, your family, and your financial future.

Why the Senate Tax Plan Matters to You

The Senate’s proposal, tied to a broader budget bill, isn’t just a stack of papers—it’s a blueprint for how much cash you’ll keep in 2026 and beyond. Unlike the House’s version, which passed last month, the Senate’s plan tweaks key areas like the Child Tax Credit, tipped income rules, and energy credits. Both chambers agree on one thing: making the TCJA’s tax cuts permanent. That’s huge, considering those cuts were set to vanish by the end of 2025, potentially hiking taxes for millions.

Most Americans will see their taxes drop, with benefits across all income levels.

– Tax policy analyst

Why does this matter? If Congress failed to act, over 60% of taxpayers would face higher bills in 2026. Nobody wants that surprise. The Senate’s plan ensures continuity, keeping tax rates, brackets, and deductions familiar while adding fresh savings. But let’s break it down—what’s staying, what’s changing, and how can you plan ahead?

The TCJA: A Refresher on What’s at Stake

Back in 2017, the TCJA shook up the tax code. It slashed rates, nearly doubled the standard deduction, and boosted credits like the Child Tax Credit. These changes simplified taxes for many—only 9% of filers itemized in 2022, down from 31% in 2017. But here’s the catch: most of those benefits were temporary, set to expire after 2025. Without action, your tax bill could spike.

  • Standard Deduction: Jumped to $12,000 for singles, $24,000 for couples in 2017, making itemizing less common.
  • Tax Brackets: Lowered rates across the board, with the top rate dropping from 39.6% to 37%.
  • Child Tax Credit: Doubled to $2,000 per child, with higher income thresholds for eligibility.

The Senate’s plan locks these in, ensuring your taxes don’t creep up unexpectedly. But it doesn’t stop there—it builds on the TCJA with new breaks tailored to today’s economy.

What’s New in the Senate’s Tax Plan?

The Senate’s proposal isn’t a carbon copy of the House’s bill. While both aim to extend the TCJA, the Senate adds its own flavor. Here’s a look at the standout changes and how they might hit your bank account.

Bigger Standard Deduction

Both chambers want to raise the standard deduction post-2025, but the Senate’s plan is slightly more generous for middle-income filers. This means more of your income stays tax-free, simplifying your return. For families or singles who don’t itemize, this is a straightforward win. I’ve always found deductions like these make tax season less of a headache—less math, more savings.

Child Tax Credit Boost

Parents, listen up. The Senate proposes bumping the nonrefundable Child Tax Credit to $2,200 per child starting in 2025. That’s $300 less than the House’s $2,500, but still a solid increase from today’s $2,000. This credit directly lowers your tax bill, dollar for dollar, making it a lifeline for growing families. Wondering if you qualify? Income limits apply, but they’re broad enough to cover most middle-class households.

No Taxes on Tips (with a Catch)

Here’s a crowd-pleaser: both bills eliminate taxes on tipped income, fulfilling a campaign promise. But the Senate caps this deduction at $25,000 annually and ties it to income-based rules. If you’re a server, bartender, or hairstylist, this could mean thousands extra in your pocket. However, the cap might limit benefits for high earners in tip-heavy jobs. It’s a bold move, but I can’t help wondering if the cap will spark debates among workers.

Tax BreakSenate PlanHouse Plan
Child Tax Credit$2,200 (2025)$2,500 (2025)
Tipped Income DeductionUp to $25,000No cap
Standard DeductionIncreased post-2025Increased post-2025

How to Track Your Tax Savings

With all these changes, how do you know if you’re actually saving money? It’s not about your refund—that’s just a reflection of how well your withholding matches your tax liability. Instead, focus on your total tax bill. Compare what you owe in 2025 to 2026. If it’s lower, you’re reaping the benefits of the Senate’s plan.

Your refund isn’t your tax break—it’s whether you paid less overall.

– Financial advisor

Here’s a quick checklist to stay on top of your savings:

  1. Review your 2025 tax return to establish a baseline.
  2. Estimate your 2026 income and deductions using the new rules.
  3. Adjust your withholding if needed to avoid overpaying.

Pro tip: Use online tax calculators once the final bill passes to project your savings. They’re not perfect, but they give you a ballpark figure. In my experience, staying proactive like this keeps tax season stress-free.

What’s Next for the Budget Bill?

The Senate and House have until July 4 to hammer out a final bill. That’s a tight deadline, and differences over Medicaid, state tax deductions, and energy credits could spark heated talks. Will they compromise, or will one chamber’s vision dominate? It’s anyone’s guess, but the TCJA extension seems like a done deal, given bipartisan support to avoid tax hikes.

Here’s what could shape the outcome:

  • Political Pressure: Lawmakers face voters’ expectations to deliver tax relief.
  • Economic Context: Inflation and wage growth may influence credit amounts.
  • Lobbying: Industries like clean energy are pushing for their tax breaks.

Whatever the final bill looks like, it’s clear Americans want predictability. Nobody likes tax surprises, and this plan aims to deliver stability. But don’t sit back just yet—start planning now to maximize your benefits.

How to Prepare for 2026 Taxes

Tax laws might seem abstract, but they hit your paycheck directly. With the Senate’s plan on the horizon, now’s the time to get your financial house in order. Whether you’re a parent, a tipped worker, or just trying to simplify your return, these steps can help you capitalize on the changes.

For Families

If you have kids, the Child Tax Credit increase is your big win. Start budgeting for that extra $200 per child. Maybe it’s a college fund boost or a family vacation—either way, it’s money back in your pocket. Double-check your income to ensure you qualify, as phase-outs apply for higher earners.

For Tipped Workers

If tips are your livelihood, the tax-free deduction is a game-changer. But the $25,000 cap means you’ll need to track your tips carefully. Consider keeping a digital log to stay organized. I’ve seen friends in the service industry struggle with tax surprises—don’t let that be you.

For Everyone Else

The higher standard deduction and locked-in tax rates benefit nearly everyone. If you don’t itemize, your taxes stay simple. If you do, watch for changes to state and local tax deductions, which differ between the Senate and House plans. Either way, revisit your financial plan to align with the new rules.

Tax Planning Checklist for 2026:
  - Review income and deductions
  - Adjust withholding
  - Track credits and breaks
  - Consult a tax pro if needed

The Bigger Picture: Why Tax Policy Shapes Your Life

Taxes aren’t just numbers—they’re a reflection of our priorities as a society. The Senate’s plan, with its focus on families, workers, and simplicity, signals a push for economic stability. But it’s not perfect. The tipped income cap, for instance, might feel unfair to some, while others argue the Child Tax Credit should be higher. What do you think—does this plan hit the mark?

Personally, I find the emphasis on predictability refreshing. Life’s expensive enough without tax hikes sneaking up. But the devil’s in the details, and the Senate-House showdown will decide how much you actually save. Stay tuned, because this bill could reshape your financial future.

In the meantime, don’t wait for July 4. Start crunching numbers, talk to a tax pro if you’re unsure, and keep an eye on updates. The Senate’s tax plan isn’t just policy—it’s your money, your life, and your chance to plan smarter. So, what’s your next step?

Prosperity is not without many fears and distastes, and adversity is not without comforts and hopes.
— Francis Bacon
Author

Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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