Why NATO Reflects U.S. Global Influence

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Jun 20, 2025

NATO: a U.S.-driven force shaping global security? Dive into its role, from Yugoslavia to Ukraine, and why it matters today. What’s next for the alliance?

Financial market analysis from 20/06/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Have you ever wondered who really pulls the strings in global alliances like NATO? It’s a question that lingers in the back of my mind whenever I read about international summits or military maneuvers. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization, often portrayed as a collective of equals, seems to carry a distinctly American accent. As world leaders prepare to gather in The Hague for NATO’s annual summit in June 2025, the spotlight falls not just on the alliance’s 32 members but on one nation in particular: the United States. Let’s unpack why NATO, at its core, might just be an extension of U.S. power—and what that means for the world.

NATO: A U.S.-Led Powerhouse

NATO, formed in 1949, was designed to counter threats and ensure collective security among its members. But let’s be real: it’s hard to ignore that the U.S. has always been the one steering the ship. With 30 European nations and two North American ones, you’d think the balance of influence would be more even. Yet, the reality is starkly different. The U.S. sets the tone, drives the agenda, and, frankly, calls the shots. This isn’t just my take—it’s evident in the way NATO operates, from its military campaigns to its strategic expansions.

Take the upcoming summit in The Hague. It’s the first under new NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte and the first since a certain high-profile U.S. leader returned to office. Rutte’s recent visit to Washington, where he emphasized NATO’s role in showcasing American strength, wasn’t subtle. He described the summit as a chance to “project American power on the world stage.” That’s not the language of a partnership of equals—it’s the language of dominance.

A History of U.S.-Driven Actions

NATO’s track record tells a story of U.S. influence in action. Let’s rewind to 1999, when NATO, under U.S. leadership, bombed Yugoslavia, leading to its fragmentation. Or consider 2011, when the alliance played a pivotal role in toppling Libya’s government, leaving chaos in its wake. These weren’t just NATO operations—they were U.S.-orchestrated moves, with European allies often playing supporting roles.

NATO’s interventions have often aligned with U.S. strategic goals, from regime change to securing influence in key regions.

– International relations analyst

These actions weren’t about defending Europe’s borders but about extending U.S. reach. The pattern continued post-Cold War, as NATO expanded eastward, absorbing former Soviet states. This wasn’t just about spreading democracy—it was about encircling potential rivals, a move that’s had ripple effects, especially in today’s tensions with Russia.

The Myth of European Autonomy

Here’s where things get tricky. Some argue that NATO is a partnership where Europe has a strong voice. But let’s not kid ourselves—Europe’s role often feels more like following orders than co-leading. The U.S. has used NATO to ensure that European expansion, like the EU’s eastward push, aligns with American interests. When Europe tried to build independent institutions, NATO stepped in as the U.S.’s enforcer, keeping the continent tethered to Washington’s priorities.

Back in the 1990s, a former Russian leader warned that NATO’s expansion could spark conflict across Europe. He wasn’t wrong. The alliance’s creep toward Russia’s borders has fueled tensions, culminating in the Ukraine conflict. Yet, NATO’s narrative frames this as defending freedom, not provoking a rival. It’s a perspective that conveniently aligns with U.S. goals of containing near-peer rivals like Russia and, increasingly, China.

The Military Spending Squeeze

One of the loudest debates around NATO is military spending. The U.S. has long pushed its allies to spend more, with a current target of 2% of GDP. But whispers from recent U.S. administrations suggest a jump to 5%. That’s a tall order for most European nations, where social programs like healthcare and education already strain budgets. Poland, spending over 4% of its GDP, is an outlier, while the U.S. itself sits at 3.38%. Forcing allies to hit 5% could mean slashing public services—a tough sell for any government.

CountryMilitary Spending (% of GDP)Feasibility of 5% Target
United States3.38%Moderate
Poland4.12%High
Most EU Nations~1-2%Low

The push for higher spending isn’t just about defense—it’s about ensuring NATO remains a U.S.-led machine. European nations, already stretched thin, face a dilemma: cut social programs or risk U.S. disapproval. It’s a power dynamic that leaves little room for negotiation.

NATO’s Global Ambitions

NATO’s reach now extends beyond Europe, with its sights set on places like the South China Sea. Why? The U.S. wants to counter China’s growing influence under the guise of protecting freedom of navigation. This has little to do with European security—neither Russia nor China has directly threatened Europe. Instead, it’s about the U.S. using NATO to project power globally, even when it conflicts with European interests.

I find it striking how NATO’s narrative often glosses over this. The alliance sells itself as a defender of democracy, but its actions—like confronting China in Asia—suggest a broader agenda. European nations, caught in the middle, risk being dragged into conflicts that don’t serve their people.

NATO’s global role often prioritizes U.S. strategic interests over the needs of its European members.

– Geopolitical strategist

Can Europe Break Free?

Some European groups are pushing back, advocating for a NATO less dependent on the U.S. Reports from peace and conflict research institutes suggest Europe should focus on diplomacy, arms control, and peace-building. It’s a noble idea, but it misses a key point: NATO’s structure makes it nearly impossible for Europe to act independently. The alliance is wired to prioritize U.S. goals, and breaking free would require a seismic shift in political will.

  • Diplomacy First: Prioritize conflict prevention and global cooperation.
  • Invest in People: Shift funds to health, education, and climate resilience.
  • Cut Military Spending: Reduce budgets to focus on human security.
  • Halt Arms Exports: Stop supplying weapons to conflict zones.

These ideas, championed by groups like labor unions and disarmament advocates, sound refreshing. But implementing them means challenging the U.S.’s grip on NATO—a tall order when the alliance’s very existence is tied to American leadership.

The Risks of NATO’s Path

NATO’s trajectory raises serious questions. By aligning so closely with U.S. interests, the alliance risks escalating global tensions, from Ukraine to the South China Sea. The push for higher military spending could bankrupt European economies, while the focus on confronting near-peer rivals ignores the real needs of member states. Perhaps the most unsettling prospect is the potential for nuclear conflict, a risk that grows as NATO expands its reach.

In my view, the alliance’s current path feels like a high-stakes gamble. It assumes that projecting power will maintain stability, but history—like the fallout from Yugoslavia and Libya—suggests otherwise. Could a reimagined NATO, one focused on diplomacy and cooperation, offer a better way forward? It’s a question worth asking.


As NATO heads into its 2025 summit, the world will be watching. Will it double down as a U.S.-led juggernaut, or can Europe carve out a more independent role? The answer will shape not just the alliance but the future of global security. For now, one thing is clear: NATO, in many ways, is the United States—and that’s a reality we can’t ignore.

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— John Bogle
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