Top Low-Volatility Stocks Set for Strong Returns in 2026

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Dec 24, 2025

Citi just spotlighted a group of stocks that could deliver impressive gains without the usual wild swings. These names show improving fundamentals and are trading at attractive valuations. But which ones made the cut—and why now?

Financial market analysis from 24/12/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Have you ever felt that nagging worry when investing—that sinking feeling that a big gain might come with an equally big drop? It’s a common fear, especially in today’s unpredictable markets. Yet some investors seem to have cracked the code: finding stocks that deliver solid returns while keeping the rollercoaster ride to a minimum. Lately, one major financial institution pointed out a handful of names that fit this exact profile, and honestly, the reasoning behind them is pretty compelling.

Why Stability and Growth Can Coexist

Most people assume high returns always mean high risk. But what if that’s not necessarily true? In recent analysis, experts highlighted a group of large-cap stocks that not only show promising upside potential but also boast impressive risk-adjusted performance. The key metric here is something called the Sharpe ratio—a way to measure how much return you’re getting for every unit of risk you take on.

These stocks have consistently outperformed on this measure, even when global events shook things up. It’s almost like they’ve built a moat around their performance. I’ve always believed that true quality shines through chaos, and these picks seem to prove that point.

The Criteria Behind the Selection

To make the cut, each company had to meet some pretty strict standards. First, they’re all part of the S&P 500—no small players here. Second, analysts expect their profit margins and asset efficiency to improve over the next couple of years. Third, they’re projected to reduce their financial leverage, which basically means they’re getting healthier balance sheets.

And finally, they rank among the top 100 stocks expected to see the biggest jump in return on equity (ROE). That last one is crucial. Rising ROE often signals a company is getting better at turning shareholder money into profits—without taking on excessive debt.

  • Expected margin improvement
  • Better asset turnover
  • Declining leverage
  • Significant ROE growth
  • Strong risk-adjusted returns

When you stack all these factors together, you start to see why these stocks could offer a smoother ride with meaningful upside. It’s not just about chasing the hottest trends; it’s about finding businesses that are quietly getting stronger.

Spotlight on Cboe Global Markets

One standout name is the operator of major options and futures exchanges. The stock has already climbed nicely this year, but analysts believe there’s still plenty of room left. Recent commentary from investment banks suggests its valuation looks increasingly attractive, especially given the structural changes in retail trading.

What used to be viewed as a temporary boom now appears to be a lasting shift. The new leadership is also making smart moves—shedding non-core businesses and focusing on what the company does best. When you combine that with a healthy balance sheet and growing volumes, it’s easy to see why some see 15-20% more upside from current levels.

Valuations have become increasingly attractive, and the secular trend in retail activity looks here to stay.

Investment banking note

I’ve always thought exchange operators are a bit like toll roads for the markets—steady cash flow as long as trading keeps happening. And with volumes holding up well, this one feels like a classic quality compounder.

Micron Technology’s Comeback Story

Then there’s the semiconductor giant specializing in memory chips. This stock has been on a tear, more than doubling in value this year alone. But the interesting part? Some big-name analysts recently upgraded their outlook, citing stronger-than-expected demand from AI and better supply discipline across the industry.

The company is also in a much stronger financial position than it has been in years. Cash flow is robust, and debt levels are manageable. Analysts now see the potential for meaningful share buybacks once certain obligations are cleared. That kind of capital flexibility can really support long-term shareholder value.

Perhaps the most intriguing angle is the belief that the memory cycle could extend well into next year and beyond. If that holds, the stock could keep surprising to the upside—especially if AI infrastructure spending continues to accelerate.

First Solar’s Position in Clean Energy

Another name that caught my eye is the leading U.S.-based solar panel manufacturer. Despite the broader clean energy sector facing some headwinds, this company has held up remarkably well, posting solid gains this year.

Analysts point to its dominant position outside China, benefiting from tariffs and a push toward domestic manufacturing. The backlog looks strong, and free cash flow is expected to grow steadily over the next several years. Add in supportive U.S. tax credits, and you’ve got a recipe for sustained profitability.

One bank recently called it a top pick in the sector, suggesting the stock still has about 20-25% upside. That’s not bad for a business that’s already delivered consistent results in a volatile industry.

The Bigger Picture: Good vs. Bad ROE

At the heart of this analysis is a simple but powerful idea: companies with improving ROE tend to outperform those without. The analysts call this the “Good ROE” basket. What’s fascinating is that these stocks are currently trading at a discount to their “Bad ROE” counterparts, even though their fundamentals look stronger.

Investors often chase growth stories tied to AI or other hot themes, but this approach is different. It’s more about fundamental momentum—businesses getting better at what they do. And unlike many growth trades, these picks don’t always move in lockstep with broader market swings.

Good ROE is trading at a discount to Bad ROE, combined with expectations for margin expansion and top-line acceleration.

Financial analysis

In my view, this is one of those strategies that can feel boring at first glance—until you look at the long-term track record. Quality tends to win over time.

How to Think About Risk in 2026

Looking ahead, many investors are wondering how to position for the coming year. Interest rates, inflation, geopolitical tensions—all the usual suspects. Yet the stocks in this basket have historically handled macro noise better than most.

That doesn’t mean they’re immune to downturns. Nothing is. But their improving fundamentals and lower leverage provide a cushion. When markets get choppy, these are often the names that hold up best.

  1. Focus on businesses with strong balance sheets
  2. Look for margin and ROE improvement
  3. Avoid companies with excessive debt
  4. Prioritize risk-adjusted returns
  5. Be patient—quality takes time to reward

It’s a disciplined approach, but one that can pay off handsomely over multiple market cycles.

Why This Matters for Long-Term Investors

Most of us aren’t day traders. We’re in it for years, sometimes decades. That’s where this kind of strategy really shines. You don’t need to catch every short-term move. Instead, you focus on companies that are structurally improving.

These three examples—Cboe, Micron, and First Solar—each tell a slightly different story. One is about market infrastructure, another about technology cycles, and the third about energy transition. Yet they all share a common thread: better profitability, stronger balance sheets, and the potential for steady gains.

Of course, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Markets can be humbling. But when you see a pattern of improving fundamentals combined with attractive valuations, it’s hard not to take notice.


In the end, investing is always about balancing risk and reward. The names highlighted here offer a compelling mix: meaningful upside potential without the stomach-churning volatility that often comes with it. Whether you’re building a core portfolio or looking for ideas to complement your holdings, this basket is worth a closer look.

So next time someone asks you how to invest for growth without losing sleep, you might have a few new names to share.

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The greatest returns aren't from buying at the bottom or selling at the top, but from buying regularly throughout the uptrend.
— Charlie Munger
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Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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