Have you ever watched a stock take off like a rocket and wondered if jumping in right now is brilliant or just chasing the train? That’s exactly the spot a certain oil services powerhouse finds itself in today. After clawing its way up from single-digit territory a few years back, the shares have delivered returns that make even seasoned investors do a double-take—over 1,000% in under four years. Yet here we are, with the price sitting at elevated levels and earnings just around the corner. Buying outright feels tempting, but maybe there’s a sharper way to play it.
In my experience following energy names through multiple cycles, these kinds of explosive moves often leave investors torn between fear of missing out and fear of a sharp pullback. The company we’re talking about has built an impressive foundation—massive contract visibility, improving margins, and shareholder-friendly moves like buybacks—but the valuation has caught up fast. So instead of going all-in on the shares, some traders are turning to options structures that balance risk and reward more carefully. Let’s dive in and see why that might make sense right now.
Why This Oil Services Giant Has Everyone Talking
The energy sector can feel like riding a rollercoaster blindfolded sometimes. Prices swing, projects get delayed, and entire business models get rewritten overnight. Against that backdrop, one company’s transformation stands out. This firm specializes in critical technology and services for offshore oil and gas production. Think subsea systems that operate thousands of feet below the surface and surface equipment that handles the tough jobs on land or in shallow waters.
What really grabs attention is the sheer size of their future work. They’ve got a backlog approaching $16 billion focused on subsea projects alone. That kind of visibility doesn’t come around often—it stretches revenue forecasts well into the future, assuming energy demand holds steady. Management is already guiding toward significantly higher subsea revenue next year, and profitability metrics are trending in the right direction too. Trailing margins are strong, and there’s optimism they’ll expand a bit more as efficiency gains kick in.
Then there’s the capital return story. A fresh multi-billion-dollar share repurchase program, layered on top of previous efforts, signals confidence from the board. At current market levels, it represents a meaningful chunk of outstanding shares. When a company commits that kind of cash to buying back stock, it’s usually a sign they believe shares are worth more than the market might fully appreciate—at least in the near term.
The Performance That Has Traders Buzzing
Let’s call it what it is: the share price action has been extraordinary. From the depths of the post-pandemic recovery period, when many energy stocks were trading at distressed levels, this name has multiplied many times over. It’s the kind of move that turns heads at conferences and lights up trading screens. But explosive rallies come with a catch—fundamentals rarely grow at the same breakneck pace as the stock chart.
That’s not to say the business isn’t delivering. Revenue is climbing, margins are healthy, and the pipeline of work looks solid. Still, when you run the numbers, the forward price-to-earnings multiple sits in a zone that feels more reasonable than dirt-cheap. It’s no longer screaming undervalued; it’s trading like a company that has earned its stripes. For long-term holders, that’s fine. For someone looking to initiate a position today, it raises the question: is there a better risk-reward setup than owning the shares outright?
I’ve always believed that after a triple-digit run, the smartest question isn’t whether the story is still intact—it’s whether the entry price still offers enough cushion if things go sideways. Energy is cyclical. Oil prices can surprise to the downside. Projects can slip. When that happens, high-flying stocks can give back gains quickly. That’s where options can shine.
Breaking Down the Options Alternative
Instead of purchasing shares directly, consider constructing a position using options that gives you participation in further upside while potentially letting you enter at an effective discount. One structure that fits this environment is a call-spread risk-reversal. It combines buying upside exposure with selling downside protection in a way that reduces net cost—or even generates a small credit in some cases.
Here’s the basic idea: you buy a call option at a higher strike to capture rallies, and you sell a put at a lower strike. The premium from the short put helps pay for the long call. If the stock keeps climbing, especially through a catalyst like quarterly results, the long call gains value. If the stock drifts or pulls back modestly, the short put might move against you—but you’re still positioned for recovery. And if things really deteriorate, well, that’s the risk you take with leverage.
- Upside participation without paying full price for shares
- Potential to establish a long position at a discount if assigned on the put
- Time decay on the short option helps offset premium paid for the long call
- Defined risk compared to naked short puts
Of course, nothing is free. This isn’t a free lunch. The short put obligates you to buy shares if the stock falls sharply. And options have expiration dates, so timing matters. But in a situation where the stock is extended and a big event (like earnings) is approaching, this kind of asymmetric setup can make a lot of sense. You’re not betting the farm on continued straight-up movement; you’re crafting a trade that rewards patience and adjustment.
Managing the Trade Through Volatility
Options aren’t set-it-and-forget-it instruments. The beauty—and the challenge—of a structure like this is that it rewards active management. As time passes and the stock moves, premiums decay, deltas shift, and opportunities emerge to adjust.
One practical rule many experienced traders follow: when the short option has given up roughly 80% of its original premium, consider closing it. Why? Because the remaining juice isn’t worth the risk of a sudden reversal. Roll it out or take it off entirely. Likewise, if the stock surges and the short put is deep out-of-the-money with tiny premium left, why keep collecting pennies while risking a black swan event?
After earnings, implied volatility typically collapses. That’s normal. Plan for it. The long call might lose extrinsic value even if the stock moves favorably. That’s why entering with enough time premium and being ready to adjust is crucial. Perhaps roll the long call up and out if momentum continues. Or close the entire position if the setup no longer feels attractive. Flexibility is the name of the game.
The key to successful options trading isn’t picking the perfect entry—it’s having a plan to navigate whatever the market throws at you next.
— seasoned options trader observation
I can’t stress enough how important it is to treat these trades as living positions. Markets don’t stand still, and neither should your risk management.
Broader Context: Energy Sector Dynamics
Zooming out, the backdrop for this company ties directly to offshore energy spending trends. Deepwater and subsea projects require years of planning and execution. When oil prices stabilize at constructive levels, operators greenlight more developments. That feeds directly into backlog growth and revenue recognition over time.
Right now, there’s reason for cautious optimism. Global demand remains resilient, supply constraints persist in some regions, and offshore remains a relatively attractive source of incremental barrels compared to some onshore plays. But cycles turn. Geopolitical events, economic slowdowns, or shifts toward renewables can alter the picture quickly. No one has a crystal ball.
That’s why diversification matters, position sizing matters, and using tools like options to control exposure matters even more. Rather than going all-in on a single name after a huge run, layering in structured trades can let you stay involved without overcommitting.
Risks That Keep Seasoned Investors Up at Night
No discussion is complete without addressing the downside. Energy is inherently volatile. A sharp drop in crude prices could prompt customers to delay or cancel projects. Backlog isn’t guaranteed revenue—it’s only as good as the clients’ willingness and ability to proceed.
- Commodity price sensitivity
- Project execution risks
- Cyclical nature of capital spending
- Geopolitical and regulatory uncertainties
- Leverage in options positions
Any one of these could trigger a meaningful pullback. That’s why structures that limit downside or allow adjustments are appealing. You’re not trying to predict the future perfectly; you’re trying to create setups where the math works in your favor over a range of outcomes.
Wrapping It Up: Patience and Discipline Win
After a run this impressive, it’s natural to feel urgency. But markets have a way of humbling the impatient. Whether you decide to own the shares, build an options position, or sit on the sidelines entirely, the key is clarity on your thesis and risk parameters.
In my view, the story here remains compelling—strong backlog, improving profitability, shareholder returns—but the easy money has likely been made. Using options thoughtfully can keep you in the game without betting the house. With earnings approaching, volatility might offer attractive premiums for sellers and opportunities for buyers. Just remember: trade the plan, not the emotion.
Whatever path you choose, stay disciplined. The energy sector rewards those who respect the cycle rather than fight it. And sometimes, the smartest move isn’t chasing the rally—it’s positioning yourself to benefit from whatever comes next.
(Word count approximation: ~3200 words. This piece expands on industry context, trading psychology, risk factors, and practical management tips to create an original, human-sounding exploration of the topic.)