Bitcoin Price Dips to $85K Amid Liquidations Before Jobs Data

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Dec 16, 2025

Bitcoin just plunged toward $85K, triggering massive long liquidations right before today's crucial US jobs report. Is this the start of a deeper correction, or just healthy profit-taking? The market is on edge, with fear levels spiking...

Financial market analysis from 16/12/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Have you ever watched a market rally feel unstoppable, only to see it stumble right when everyone least expects it? That’s exactly what happened with Bitcoin this week. After flirting with higher levels just days ago, the leading cryptocurrency took a sharp turn downward, brushing against that critical $85,000 mark that many traders have been watching closely.

It’s the kind of move that gets hearts racing in the crypto world – especially when it coincides with big economic news on the horizon. Today, as the US jobs data looms, the air is thick with caution. Let’s dive into what’s really going on and why this dip might be more than just random noise.

What’s Happening with Bitcoin Right Now?

The price action has been brutal in the short term. Bitcoin dropped more than 4% in a single day, sliding from above $89,000 to as low as $85,400 before bouncing a bit. At the moment, it’s hovering around the mid-$86,000s, but the damage is done – we’re looking at a noticeable pullback from recent highs.

What stands out most is how this isn’t happening in isolation. The entire crypto market felt the pressure, but Bitcoin led the charge downward. And perhaps the most telling sign? Liquidations are piling up fast.

The Liquidation Cascade That’s Amplifying the Drop

When prices fall quickly in a leveraged market, things can snowball. That’s precisely what we’ve seen. Over $650 million in positions got wiped out across crypto in the last day alone, with the vast majority – around $577 million – coming from optimistic long bets.

For Bitcoin specifically, longs took a $169 million hit. It’s painful to watch if you’re on the wrong side, but it’s also classic market behavior. Highly leveraged traders get stopped out, their sales push prices lower, and that triggers more stops. Before you know it, you’ve got a cascade.

In my experience following these cycles, these liquidation events often mark short-term bottoms or at least pauses. But they also remind us how fragile sentiment can be when leverage is high.

  • Long liquidations dominated the action, showing the market was heavily positioned for upside.
  • Bitcoin’s share of the pain was significant, underlining its role as the market bellwether.
  • Open interest in futures dropped noticeably, suggesting some deleveraging is already underway.

Why the US Jobs Report Matters So Much

Timing is everything, right? This dip didn’t happen in a vacuum. Markets are nervously awaiting today’s non-farm payroll numbers, expected around mid-morning Eastern Time.

Economists are forecasting a pretty soft print – something like 55,000 jobs added last month, which would be a sharp slowdown. Normally, weak jobs data might be bullish for risk assets because it increases the odds of interest rate cuts. Lower rates mean cheaper money, which tends to flow into things like crypto.

But here’s the twist: the Federal Reserve just cut rates last week and signaled they’re probably done with aggressive easing. They’ve penciled in maybe just one more cut for all of next year. So investors are second-guessing everything.

Cryptocurrencies have historically loved the idea of multiple rate cuts ahead. When that narrative shifts, profit-taking can hit hard.

Add in the broader uncertainty, and you’ve got a recipe for caution. Traders aren’t rushing in to buy the dip like they might have a few months ago.

Institutional Demand Appears to Be Cooling

Another layer to this story is what’s happening with big money flows. Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which were the darling of the bull narrative earlier this year, have turned quieter.

December has seen net outflows so far, continuing a trend from the previous month when billions left these products. It’s not catastrophic, but it’s a shift from the relentless inflows we saw during the rally phases.

I’ve always thought these ETF flows are a decent pulse check on institutional sentiment. When they’re buying aggressively, Bitcoin tends to have strong support. When they’re stepping back or even selling lightly, dips can stretch longer.

PeriodETF Flow TrendBitcoin Price Reaction
Early 2025 RallyHeavy InflowsStrong Upside
Recent MonthsMixed to OutflowsConsolidation & Pullbacks
CurrentNet NegativeIncreased Volatility

It’s worth remembering that institutions move slowly compared to retail. Their positioning can create headwinds that last weeks or even months.

Are Whales Coordinating a Sell-Off?

One theory making the rounds is that large players are actively pressing the market lower. Some on-chain observers pointed to significant selling from major exchanges and known whale clusters – potentially billions worth in a short window.

Is it coordinated manipulation? Hard to prove, of course. But in thinly regulated markets like crypto, big players can certainly influence price action when they decide to unload.

Personally, I tend to lean toward the simpler explanation: profit-taking after a massive run-up. Bitcoin was up hugely from its lows, and smart money often locks in gains ahead of uncertain macro events.

Sometimes what looks like a conspiracy is just rational behavior from experienced traders protecting their gains.

Market Sentiment Has Turned Ice Cold

If you need a quick read on crowd psychology, the Fear and Greed Index is hard to beat. Right now, it’s deep in “Extreme Fear” territory – the kind of reading we usually see at local bottoms.

Extreme fear often means capitulation is close. Retail traders panic sell, leveraged positions get flushed, and the market cleans house. Historically, these moments have preceded strong rebounds more often than not.

That said, fear can persist longer than anyone expects. Until we get clarity from today’s data and perhaps the next Fed meeting, volatility is likely to stay elevated.

  1. Watch the immediate reaction to the jobs report – a big miss could paradoxically spark buying if it revives rate-cut hopes.
  2. Monitor liquidation levels – easing pressure would signal the worst selling is over.
  3. Track ETF flows over the coming week for signs of renewed institutional interest.

Analyst Views: From $75K Warnings to Bullish Resilience

The expert community is, as usual, split. Some warn that a break below $85,000 could open the door to $75,000 or lower in the near term. Others point to massive buy walls around current levels on major exchanges, suggesting strong underlying support.

Longer-term, many still see higher targets. The pullback feels painful, but it’s modest compared to Bitcoin’s history of 30-50% corrections even in bull markets.

Perhaps the most interesting aspect is how resilient the broader narrative remains. Despite the price drop, adoption stories, infrastructure development, and regulatory progress continue in the background.

In my view, dips like this are part of what makes crypto investing both challenging and potentially rewarding. They shake out weak hands and set the stage for the next leg up – whenever that arrives.


So where does Bitcoin go from here? Honestly, no one knows for sure. Today’s jobs data will give the next clue. A surprisingly strong number might add more downside pressure, while a weak one could reignite rate-cut speculation and bring buyers back.

Either way, the $85,000 zone is now front and center. Holding here would be bullish. Losing it decisively? That might mean more pain before the bulls regain control.

One thing I’ve learned over years in this space: markets love to surprise. Stay nimble, manage risk, and remember that today’s fear often becomes tomorrow’s opportunity.

The crypto journey is rarely smooth, but that’s what keeps it interesting. Keep watching – the next chapter is always just around the corner.

Every time you borrow money, you're robbing your future self.
— Nathan W. Morris
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Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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