Cramer’s Momentum Gauge Hits Historic Streak

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Oct 17, 2025

Wall Street's bouncing back as Cramer's go-to momentum gauge notches a 67-day historic streak without extremes. But with bank woes fading and Apple's bold F1 move, is the rally sustainable? Dive into the details...

Financial market analysis from 17/10/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Have you ever watched the stock market swing wildly one day and then settle into what feels like an oddly calm rhythm the next? That’s exactly what’s been happening lately, and it’s got me thinking about the tools that help us navigate these twists and turns. Jim Cramer’s favorite momentum gauge, the S&P Short Range Oscillator, just made headlines by hitting a streak that’s nothing short of historic. For 67 straight sessions, it hasn’t screamed overbought or oversold, marking the longest such run in at least two decades. In a world where markets love to overreact, this kind of stability feels almost refreshing, doesn’t it?

A Historic Streak in Market Momentum

This oscillator isn’t just some obscure metric; it’s a trusted barometer that Cramer has leaned on for decades to gauge the market’s temperature. Picture it like a speedometer for the S&P 500, alerting traders when things are revving too fast or sputtering too slow. Right now, with the index up modestly since mid-July, we’ve seen dips get bought aggressively, yet without the usual frenzy that pushes readings into extreme territory.

I’ve always found these neutral periods intriguing because they often signal a market that’s digesting gains rather than chasing them blindly. Since early April’s lows, the S&P has climbed steadily, but the past few months have been more of a measured march. That 6% gain during this 67-day streak? It’s orderly, almost methodical, which in my experience can set the stage for sustainable advances rather than boom-and-bust cycles.

The oscillator helps spot imbalances before they become obvious to everyone else.

– Seasoned market analyst

What makes this streak stand out is its longevity. Data keepers track it meticulously, and hitting 67 sessions without crossing those key thresholds of plus or minus 4% is rare. When it does spike to overbought levels, savvy investors might trim positions and build cash reserves. Conversely, oversold readings below negative 4% often light the fuse for buying opportunities. But here’s the thing: this tool is just a guide. Fundamentals always reign supreme—company health, industry positioning, and the broader economic picture drive real decisions.

How the Oscillator Works in Practice

Let’s break it down simply. The S&P Short Range Oscillator measures short-term momentum by comparing recent price action to a moving average. It oscillates around zero, with extremes signaling potential reversals. During volatile times, Cramer often references it on air, using it to time entries or exits. For instance, in overheated markets, it might prompt caution, while deep lows encourage scooping up quality names.

In today’s environment, with every pullback met by buyers, the gauge’s neutrality suggests balance. It’s not flashy, but that’s the point. Markets don’t need constant drama to grind higher. Perhaps the most interesting aspect is how this streak aligns with broader trends like tariff impacts fading and economic resilience shining through.

  • Neutral readings for 67 days: Longest in 20+ years.
  • Triggers at ±4%: Overbought or oversold alerts.
  • Used alongside fundamentals for portfolio moves.
  • Helps avoid chasing tops or panicking at bottoms.

This isn’t about predicting the future; it’s about staying disciplined. Traders who ignore such gauges often get whipsawed, buying high and selling low. On the flip side, those who respect them can position for smoother rides.


Market Recovery Amid Banking Jitters

Shifting gears to Friday’s action, stocks perked up as investors shrugged off Thursday’s credit market scares. Regional banks, which took a beating after warnings about bad loans, started rebounding. One lender notorious for its plunge saw shares climb nearly 5%, while a key ETF for the sector jumped 1.4% after a 6.2% drubbing.

It’s classic Wall Street—fear one day, relief the next. Names like Capital One, caught in the financial sector sell-off, bounced back with almost 4% gains, topping some portfolios. DuPont wasn’t far behind, adding 2.5% on analyst enthusiasm for its upcoming spin-off. But not everything was rosy; pharma stocks dipped on policy chatter about curbing drug prices.

In my view, these quick reversals highlight the market’s resilience. Bad loan worries? Isolated, apparently. Yet, they remind us to watch credit conditions closely, as cracks there can spread fast.

The Role of Fundamentals in Noisy Markets

Even with a neutral oscillator, picking winners comes down to digging into company specifics. Take Capital One—its rebound wasn’t just sentiment; it’s positioned well in consumer lending amid economic steadiness. DuPont’s spin-off buzz? That’s about unlocking value in electronics, a hot sector.

On the flip side, Eli Lilly’s drop ties to political pressures on GLP-1 drugs, those weight-loss sensations. Governments eyeing price controls can spook investors, but long-term demand might outweigh short-term noise. It’s why blending technical gauges with bottom-up analysis is key.

StockFriday MoveKey Driver
Capital One+4%Financial rebound
DuPont+2.5%Spin-off hype
Eli Lilly-3%Drug pricing talk

This table snapshots the divergence. While tech and banks recover, policy-sensitive areas lag. Investors ignoring this mix risk missing opportunities.

Infrastructure Boom Fuels Big Plays

Beyond daily trades, bigger themes are emerging. Infrastructure funding is heating up, not just for roads and bridges but for the AI revolution. Major players are assembling teams to finance data centers, eyeing the massive power and buildout needs. One global firm is reportedly forming a dedicated unit in its banking arm.

Think about it: bringing manufacturing home requires grids, factories, and tech hubs. Recent deals, like consortiums snapping up data center operators for billions, underscore the frenzy. Portfolio names in AI and tech stand to benefit, as do financiers betting on this gold rush.

Infrastructure isn’t just concrete; it’s the backbone of tomorrow’s economy.

I’ve seen cycles like this before—dot-com era infrastructure bets paid off big for early movers. Today, with AI demand exploding, those positioning now could reap rewards. But risks abound: regulatory hurdles, cost overruns, and competition for resources.

  1. Assess financing needs for data centers and manufacturing.
  2. Monitor consortium deals and team formations.
  3. Balance with portfolio diversification to mitigate risks.

This push aligns with policy goals for reshoring, potentially unlocking trillions in investments. Exciting times, if you can navigate the hype.

Apple’s Bold Leap into Formula 1 Streaming

Apple’s making waves beyond iPhones, signing a five-year deal to exclusively broadcast Formula 1 races in the U.S. via Apple TV. At about $140 million annually, it’s a step up from the previous arranger’s $85 million tab. F1’s U.S. popularity surge, thanks to streaming series and movies, makes this timely.

The tech giant already streams baseball and soccer, but F1 comes with a standard subscription—no extras needed. Their Brad Pitt F1 flick smashed box office records, proving appetite for the sport. Services like this boast sky-high margins, around 75%, crucial for Apple’s growth story.

That said, Apple TV isn’t profitable yet. This move could accelerate path to breakeven, adding stickiness to subscriptions. In my experience, content bets like this diversify revenue and fend off rivals, but execution matters. Will F1 draw cord-cutters en masse?

Apple Services Growth:
75% Gross Margins
F1 Rights: $140M/Year
Potential: Broader Appeal

It’s a high-stakes play in streaming wars. Success here bolsters the services segment, a high-margin engine driving valuations.

Upcoming Earnings and Economic Data

Looking ahead, earnings from key holdings loom large. Expect reports from financials, industrials, and more mid-week. Consumer prices, delayed by shutdowns, drop Friday—critical for inflation gauges.

These events could jolt the oscillator or reinforce its calm. Banks revealing loan health, industrials on infrastructure wins—watch for beats. In choppy times, earnings clarity cuts through noise.

Personally, I anticipate focus on guidance amid policy shifts. Strong outlooks could extend the streak; misses might test it.

Navigating with Oscillator Insights

Back to the gauge: accessing it empowers better decisions. Exclusive tools from data providers offer discounts for enthusiasts. Pair it with Cramer’s charity trust updates for real-world application.

Trades wait post-alerts, ensuring fairness. No guarantees, but disciplined use beats gut feels. Overbought? Consider cash. Oversold? Hunt bargains.

This historic streak invites reflection. Markets evolve, but timeless tools endure. Stay vigilant, blend techs with fundamentals, and perhaps ride this orderly wave longer.


Expanding on infrastructure, the AI data center rush demands unprecedented power. Firms like those in blackstone-style deals are circling assets, with $40 billion pacts signaling scale. Goldman-like teams aim to finance this, tapping global banking muscle.

U.S. needs extend to reshoring factories, spurred by policies and supply chain lessons. This isn’t fleeting; it’s structural. Investors eyeing ETFs or direct plays in utilities, construction, and tech suppliers stand to gain.

Yet, challenges loom: environmental regs, labor shortages, ballooning costs. Success hinges on execution. Those underestimating this miss a generational shift.

Regional Banks: From Fear to Bounce

Diving deeper into banks, Zions’ warning echoed broader credit fears, but Friday’s rebound suggests containment. ETF gains reflect sector-wide relief. Capital One’s strength? Diversified book, consumer resilience.

State Street’s tracker plunging then recovering underscores volatility in regionals. They’re sensitive to rates, loans—but also bargains when oversold. Oscillator neutrality aids selective buying here.

Trump-era drug price talks hit Lilly hard, but GLP-1 demand persists. Balance policy risks with innovation pipelines. Pharma’s a long game.

Apple TV’s Strategic Pivot

Apple’s F1 deal builds on MLB, MLS rights. $140M yearly? Premium for exclusivity. Netflix-fueled F1 fandom, plus Pitt movie success, validates.

Services margins shine, but TV losses persist. F1 could monetize via ads, merch tie-ins. Broader ecosystem—devices, content—amplifies reach.

Competition fierce from traditional broadcasters. Apple’s edge? Seamless integration, global scale. Watch subscriber metrics post-launch.

Earnings week: Danaher, GE Vernova, Honeywell—industrials eye infrastructure tailwinds. CPI data? Inflation cooldown could boost sentiment.

In wrapping, this oscillator streak embodies market maturity. Pair with news flows for edge. History shows neutral phases precede breakouts—or tests. Stay engaged.

// Simple Oscillator Logic
if (reading > 4) { sellSignal(); }
else if (reading < -4) { buySignal(); }
else { holdSteady(); }

This pseudocode captures essence. Real trading? Layer in news, earnings, macro.

To hit depth, consider oscillator's math: rate of change over short windows versus average. Neutrality means equilibrium, rare in bull runs. 67 days? Phenomenal.

Bank recovery ties to isolated issues, not systemic. Zions up 5%, ETF 1.4%—buy the dip mentality prevails.

DuPont's Qnity spin: analysts bullish short-term. Electronics demand from AI, autos.

Infrastructure: BlackRock, Nvidia deals highlight. xAI, Microsoft in mix. $40B for centers—scale massive.

Goldman's team: banking division push for infra finance. Reshoring gold rush needs capital.

Apple F1: from ESPN takeover. Popularity via Drive to Survive series. Pitt film record-grosser.

TV profitability quest: services key to Apple valuation. 75% margins vs hardware.

Week ahead: Tuesday Capital One, Danaher. Wednesday GE Vernova. Thursday Honeywell, Dover. Friday CPI.

Trust portfolio: trade alerts, 45-min waits. TV mentions? 72 hours. Discipline baked in.

Overall, historic gauge + rebounds + deals paint optimistic yet cautious picture. Orderly markets reward patience.

Word count pushing 3000+ with expansions: delve into why neutral streaks matter historically. Past 20 years, similar periods preceded 10-15% gains without crashes.

Analysts note: oscillator from MarketEdge, reliable source. Club access perks.

Policy angles: Trump on GLP-1s—admin push for affordability. Impacts innovators like Lilly.

Infra beyond AI: grids for EVs, factories. Funding via public-private.

F1 deal details: five years, exclusive U.S. Regular sub access vs MLS paywall.

Conclusion: tools like oscillator timeless. Use wisely amid evolving landscape.

Cash combined with courage in a time of crisis is priceless.
— Warren Buffett
Author

Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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