Hashrate as a Commodity: Bitcoin Mining’s Next Big Shift

6 min read
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Dec 4, 2025

Remember when oil producers started selling barrels that hadn’t been pumped yet? Bitcoin miners are doing the exact same thing with hashrate. Billions are already trading hands off-chain, and the infrastructure is quietly turning raw computing power into the next major commodity. Here’s how it actually works—and why it changes everything...

Financial market analysis from 04/12/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Picture this: a warehouse the size of a small town humming with tens of thousands of machines, all racing to solve the same mathematical puzzle 24/7. A few years ago, owning part of that warehouse—or at least a few racks inside it—was the only real way to earn freshly minted bitcoin. Today? You can sit on your couch, click buy on a tokenized slice of that exact same computing power, and start collecting mining rewards tomorrow without ever smelling the hot exhaust of an S21. Something big just changed, and most people still haven’t noticed.

The Quiet Birth of a Brand-New Asset Class

Bitcoin mining used to be brutally simple. You bought hardware, you paid for power, you pointed the machines at a pool, and you prayed the price stayed high enough to cover the electricity bill. That model still exists, of course, but it’s rapidly being surrounded by something far more sophisticated: an honest-to-god financial market built on raw computational work.

We’re talking about hashrate—those quintillions of hashes per second—turning into something you can buy, sell, hedge, and even use as collateral, exactly the way oil producers, farmers, and metals companies have done for decades. And the numbers already look less like crypto experiments and more like a maturing commodity market.

From Hardware Headaches to Clean Exposure

Let’s be honest—running mining hardware is a logistical nightmare. Negotiating power contracts in Kazakhstan, shipping containers through customs, keeping immersion coolant from leaking all over a warehouse floor in Texas… most investors never wanted any of that. They simply wanted the economic payoff that comes from securing the Bitcoin network.

Tokenized hashrate solves the problem the same way an oil ETF solved the problem of storing physical barrels in your backyard. You purchase a digital unit—sometimes 1 TH/s, sometimes 100 PH/s—that represents real machines running somewhere on the planet. The operator handles uptime, maintenance, and electricity. You receive your pro-rata share of the block rewards and fees in bitcoin, usually paid daily or weekly.

It sounds almost too clean, right? Yet the infrastructure has been quietly scaling for over two years now. Some of the largest pools and hosting companies run tokenized products that already measure their backed hashrate in the tens of exahashes. That’s real iron in real data centers, not some vaporware promise.

Derivatives: The Part Wall Street Actually Understands

Tokenized hashrate is the retail-friendly face, but the institutional action happens in the derivatives market—and it’s growing faster than most people realize.

Hashrate forwards let a miner lock in today’s hashprice for delivery months or even years into the future. When the network difficulty explodes after a price rally (it always does), the miner who sold forward contracts keeps collecting the same revenue per terahash while everyone else watches their margins evaporate overnight.

Think of it as the Bitcoin version of a farmer selling next year’s wheat crop in February. The biology is unpredictable, but the paycheck isn’t.

By mid-2025, OTC desks were already reporting close to a quarter-billion dollars in notional hashrate forwards traded year-to-date. That’s still small compared to crude oil or copper, but it’s growing exponentially—and remember, the underlying network hashrate itself sits north of a zettahash per second now. There’s real volume to intermediate.

Why Miners Suddenly Love Financial Markets

Mining has always been a spread business: revenue minus the cost of power and capital. The problem? Revenue swings wildly with bitcoin price, difficulty adjustments, and transaction fee spikes, while costs only move in one direction—up.

Financial instruments fix the revenue side of the equation. A large miner can now:

  • Sell three-year hashrate forwards and know exact USD per PH/s they’ll earn regardless of where BTC trades
  • Pair that with fixed-price power contracts or traditional electricity hedges
  • Turn the entire operation into a boring, bankable utility with 15-25% margins

Banks love boring. Private credit funds love predictable cash flows. That’s why we’re starting to see eight-figure credit facilities collateralized by future hashrate instead of freshly mined coins. Selling the bitcoin would trigger taxes and depress the market price. Pledging the hashrate? Clean, efficient, and increasingly common.

The Parallel with Energy Markets Nobody Talks About

Every commodity that ever became investable followed the exact same playbook:

  1. Physical trading among producers
    1. Standardized contracts and storage
      1. Futures markets for hedging
        1. ETPs and retail products

Crude oil took decades. Natural gas took a decade. Bitcoin hashrate is sprinting through the same stages in less than thirty-six months. The physical machines already exist in abundance. Standardization is happening through index providers and major pools. Futures and forwards are live. All that’s missing is the final retail wrapper—and that’s coming faster than most expect.

What Tokenization Actually Looks Like in Practice

Forget the marketing fluff. Here’s how a modern tokenized hashrate product actually works under the hood:

  • Mining company places brand-new machines in a facility it controls
  • Independent auditor verifies serial numbers and online hashrate
  • Smart contract or custodial wrapper issues ERC-20 (or equivalent) tokens backed 1:1 by live TH/s
  • Tokens trade on DEXes or centralized venues with proper KYC where required
  • Daily bitcoin rewards are swept, converted pro-rata, and distributed to token holders
  • Operators typically charge 15-25% management/power fee—still cheaper than most people can achieve on their own

Some platforms even let you redeem the token for physical delivery of the hashrate (i.e., they’ll host your own machines), though almost nobody exercises that option. Why would you? The whole point is to avoid the operational headache.

The Institutional Land Grab Happening Right Now

While retail traders argue about meme coins, a quieter—and far more lucrative—game is playing out in conference rooms most of us will never enter.

Multi-strategy hedge funds that spent years avoiding direct mining stocks are now allocating to hashrate forwards because the risk/return profile finally makes sense. Pension consultants who can’t touch bitcoin directly are studying hashrate-linked notes. Even sovereign-related entities in the Middle East and Central Asia are looking at compute exposure the same way they once looked at gold mining royalties.

And here’s the part that should make every bitcoin maximalist smile: every terahash sold to an institution is one more terahash that will keep pointing at the longest chain for years, regardless of short-term price action.

Where This All Leads—Five Years Out

Fast-forward to 2030 and try to imagine a world where:

  • CME lists cash-settled Bitcoin hashrate futures right next to micro-BTC contracts
  • BlackRock or Fidelity files for a “Bitcoin Mining Yield ETF” that holds nothing but tokenized hashrate and short-dated forwards
  • Regional hashrate indices exist for North America, Central Asia, and Northern Europe, complete with basis trading
  • Miners report earnings the way airlines report revenue passenger miles—dollars per available terahash second
  • Your brokerage account shows “BTC Hashrate Exposure” right next to your S&P 500 and bond allocations

None of this requires new technology. The machines exist. The legal wrappers exist. The demand clearly exists. All that’s left is time and liquidity—and both are arriving faster than anyone predicted in 2021.

The Bottom Line Nobody Wants to Say Out Loud

In my view, the financialization of hashrate is the single most under-appreciated trend in Bitcoin today. Spot ETFs were the on-ramp for price exposure. Hashrate products are the on-ramp for actually participating in the security budget of the network without running a single machine.

More importantly, they turn mining from a speculative bet on bitcoin’s price into a proper yield-generating asset class with its own risk premia, its own volatility surface, and its own correlation characteristics. That’s not just new—it’s transformative.

The garage miners and basement rigs aren’t going away completely, but the center of gravity has already shifted. The next decade of Bitcoin mining won’t be decided by who can buy the most ASICs or negotiate the cheapest kilowatt-hour. It will be decided by who controls the financial layer built on top of those ASICs.

And right now, that layer is still wide open.


So the next time someone tells you mining is just about hardware and cheap power, smile quietly. The game changed while most of us were watching the price chart.

Wealth creation is an evolutionarily recent positive-sum game. Status is an old zero-sum game. Those attacking wealth creation are often just seeking status.
— Naval Ravikant
Author

Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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