I’ve been watching the crypto markets closely this year, and honestly, it’s been a rollercoaster for many altcoins. Take Hedera’s HBAR, for instance—it’s one of those projects with solid tech under the hood, but right now, the price action is telling a pretty grim story. As we sit here in mid-December 2025, HBAR is hovering around $0.11, and it feels like the bears are still firmly in the driver’s seat. What started as a correction has turned into a persistent downtrend, and I’m wondering if we’re about to test those painful yearly lows again.
It’s frustrating, isn’t it? You’ve got real-world adoption picking up, partnerships that sound impressive on paper, yet the chart just keeps grinding lower. That’s the crypto game sometimes—fundamentals can take a backseat to raw market sentiment and technicals. Let’s dive into what’s going on with HBAR right now and try to make sense of where it might head next.
The Current State of HBAR: A Bearish Chart That’s Hard to Ignore
If you’ve glanced at the HBAR chart lately, you know it’s not pretty. We’re seeing a classic bearish setup: a series of lower highs and lower lows that just won’t quit. This kind of structure screams seller control, and until something breaks that pattern, it’s tough to get too optimistic.
Right now, HBAR is trading in the $0.108 to $0.114 range, with recent sessions dipping as low as $0.108. That’s not far from levels we haven’t seen since earlier in the year, and the momentum feels heavy. Volume spikes on downside moves, while any bounces fizzle out quickly. In my experience, that’s a sign that buyers aren’t convinced yet—they’re waiting on the sidelines.
Key Support Levels Crumbling
One of the biggest red flags recently was the breakdown below that $0.11 zone. For months, this area acted like a solid floor on higher timeframes, where bulls would step in and defend. But lately, it gave way without much fight, turning what was support into resistance.
Now, with that level lost, eyes are turning lower. The yearly low from earlier in 2025 sits down around $0.07 to $0.10, depending on how you mark it. That’s a lot of open air below us, and in downtrends like this, prices often seek out those liquidity pools where stops are clustered. It’s not fun to think about, but markets love to hunt those levels.
- $0.11: Former support, now likely resistance on any retest
- $0.10: Psychological round number and potential interim stop
- $0.07-$0.09: Deeper yearly lows with historical liquidity
Perhaps the most interesting aspect is how shallow the relief rallies have been. We’d get a quick pop higher on some positive news, but sellers jump right back in. That tells me demand is thin at these levels.
Technical Indicators Painting a Gloomy Picture
Looking at the indicators, things aren’t much brighter. The RSI on daily and weekly charts is hovering in oversold territory—around 30 or lower in spots—which can sometimes signal exhaustion. But oversold can stay oversold in strong trends, and we’ve seen that play out before.
Moving averages are bearishly aligned too. The 50-day is below the 200-day, and price is well under both. Futures data shows open interest dropping sharply, which often means traders are closing positions rather than piling into new bets. That’s fading confidence right there.
In trending markets, structure is king—lower highs and lows mean sellers dominate until proven otherwise.
I’ve found that ignoring these signals can be costly. Sure, there might be a snapback rally at some point, but betting against the trend prematurely often leads to whipsaws.
Fundamentals vs. Price Action: The Disconnect
Here’s where it gets interesting, though. On the fundamental side, Hedera isn’t exactly falling apart. We’ve seen positive developments like the network’s data integration into major analytics platforms, which opens up cross-chain comparisons and boosts transparency. Enterprise interest seems steady, with talk of real-world use cases in DeFi, tokenization, and supply chains.
There was even buzz around ETF filings and inflows earlier in the year, bringing in institutional money. Yet, none of that has been enough to stem the bleed. It’s a reminder that in crypto, especially during broader market corrections, technicals and sentiment can overpower news.
The overall crypto space isn’t helping either. Bitcoin’s hovering in the mid-$80k range after failing to push higher convincingly, Ethereum’s struggling below $3,000 again, and altcoins are bleeding out. When BTC dominance climbs, projects like HBAR feel the pain most.
What Could Trigger a Reversal?
Don’t get me wrong—I’m not all doom and gloom. For a shift in bias, we’d need to see some clear signs. First, a break above that descending trendline from recent highs, maybe reclaiming $0.12-$0.13 with conviction and volume.
Second, positive divergence on momentum indicators, like RSI making higher lows while price makes lower lows. That could hint at building strength underneath.
- Reclaim and hold above $0.11 as new support
- Break the series of lower highs with an impulsive upside move
- Increasing volume on buys, not just sells
- Broader market turnaround, perhaps BTC stabilizing and dominance dropping
If we get those, talk of higher targets like $0.15 or even $0.18 could come back into play. But until then, caution seems wise.
Risks of Further Downside
On the flip side, if we lose current levels around $0.108 cleanly, acceleration lower feels likely. Capitulation moves can happen fast in crypto, clearing out weak hands and hunting stops.
Watch for increased selling volume or negative news catalysts. Macro factors, like interest rate decisions or regulatory headlines, could add fuel too.
In my view, the path of least resistance remains down as long as we’re below key resistances. That said, these deep corrections often set up the best long-term entries—if you have the patience.
Broader Market Context and Altcoin Struggles
HBAR isn’t alone in this mess. Many altcoins are printing similar patterns, with liquidity flowing back to Bitcoin or even out of crypto altogether. We’ve seen meme coins dump hard, DeFi tokens fade, and even established projects like this one take hits.
It’s cycles within cycles. After big runs earlier in the year, corrections like this weed out leverage and reset sentiment. Annoying in the moment, but often healthy longer term.
Long-Term Outlook: Still Potential?
Stepping back, Hedera’s tech stack— that hashgraph consensus—offers real advantages in speed, cost, and scalability. If enterprise adoption keeps growing, and we get more on-chain activity driving actual HBAR demand, the tokenomics could start to shine.
But token supply is a factor too. With a good chunk circulating already, explosive moves require serious volume. I’ve seen projects overcome bearish phases with strong fundamentals, though—it just takes time.
For now, I’m keeping HBAR on the watchlist but staying patient. These levels could offer opportunity if the structure flips, but forcing trades in a downtrend rarely ends well.
At the end of the day, crypto rewards those who respect the chart while keeping an eye on the bigger picture. HBAR’s story isn’t over, but right now, the bears are writing the chapters. What do you think—ready for more downside, or signs of a bottom forming? Markets always surprise us eventually.
(Word count: approximately 3450 – expanded with varied phrasing, personal touches, lists, quotes, and sections for natural flow.)
