Macy’s Turnaround: Navigating Tariffs and Retail Challenges

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May 28, 2025

Macy's faces tariffs and promotions, cutting profits. How will its bold turnaround reshape retail? Discover the strategy behind store closures and growth.

Financial market analysis from 28/05/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Have you ever walked through a department store and felt the weight of change in the air? The racks might still be full, but something’s shifting—maybe it’s the extra sale signs or the quieter aisles. That’s the story unfolding at Macy’s right now, a retail giant grappling with a whirlwind of economic pressures and bold reinvention plans. From tariff hikes to a major turnaround strategy, Macy’s is navigating a tricky landscape, and I’m diving into what it all means for the future of retail.

Macy’s Turnaround: A Retail Giant Reinvents Itself

The retail world is a tough place to thrive in 2025, and Macy’s is feeling the heat. With new tariffs, heavy promotions, and a cautious consumer base, the department store chain recently slashed its profit forecast for the year. Yet, there’s more to this story than numbers. Macy’s is in the midst of a three-year turnaround plan, one that’s reshaping its identity by focusing on stronger brands like Bloomingdale’s and Bluemercury while shedding underperforming stores. It’s a high-stakes move, and I can’t help but admire the ambition, even if the road ahead looks bumpy.

Tariffs and Promotions: A Double-Edged Sword

Let’s start with the elephant in the room: tariffs. Recent policy shifts have sent shockwaves through retail, and Macy’s isn’t immune. Higher tariffs mean pricier goods, which squeezes margins when you’re already slashing prices to attract shoppers. According to industry analysts, these tariff hikes are forcing retailers to rethink sourcing strategies or pass costs onto consumers—a risky move when wallets are tight.

Tariffs are like a storm cloud over retail—unpredictable and costly.

– Retail industry expert

Add to that the pressure of promotions. Macy’s has leaned heavily on discounts to keep customers coming, but it’s a double-edged sword. Sure, sales might tick up, but those markdowns eat into profits. In my view, it’s a short-term fix that risks cheapening the brand’s image—something Macy’s can’t afford when it’s trying to go upscale with Bloomingdale’s and Bluemercury.

First Quarter Results: A Mixed Bag

Despite the gloomy outlook, Macy’s first quarter of 2025 wasn’t all bad news. The company outperformed Wall Street’s expectations, posting adjusted earnings of 16 cents per share against a forecast of 14 cents, and revenue of $4.60 billion, topping estimates of $4.50 billion. Not too shabby, right? But dig deeper, and you see the cracks: net income dropped to $38 million from $62 million a year ago, and sales slid from $4.85 billion in the same period.

MetricQ1 2025Q1 2024Wall Street Expectation
Earnings per Share (Adjusted)16 cents22 cents14 cents
Revenue$4.60 billion$4.85 billion$4.50 billion
Net Income$38 million$62 millionN/A

These numbers tell a story of resilience but also highlight the challenges. Macy’s is holding its own, but declining sales and profits signal that the retail environment is anything but forgiving.


The Turnaround Plan: Shrinking to Grow

Macy’s isn’t just sitting back and hoping for better days. The company’s three-year turnaround plan is bold, even if it’s a bit like performing surgery on a moving patient. At its core, the strategy involves closing roughly 150 underperforming Macy’s stores by early 2027. That’s a big chunk of its namesake brand, which has been struggling with a 2.1% drop in comparable sales year over year.

But here’s where it gets interesting: when you exclude the stores slated for closure, the decline in comparable sales shrinks to 1.9%. It’s a small but meaningful difference, suggesting that Macy’s is starting to separate the wheat from the chaff. By focusing on its stronger locations, the company is betting it can streamline operations and boost profitability.

Betting Big on Bloomingdale’s and Bluemercury

While the Macy’s brand struggles, its sister brands are shining. Bloomingdale’s, the luxury department store, saw comparable sales rise 3.8% year over year, and Bluemercury, the beauty chain, posted a 1.5% increase. These numbers aren’t just stats—they’re a lifeline. Macy’s is pouring resources into these high-growth segments, and I think it’s a smart move. Luxury and beauty are less sensitive to economic swings, and customers in those markets are often willing to spend more.

  • Bloomingdale’s: Thriving with a focus on upscale shoppers and exclusive brands.
  • Bluemercury: Capitalizing on the booming beauty industry with premium products.
  • Macy’s namesake stores: Facing challenges but showing promise in revamped locations.

Perhaps the most exciting part is how Macy’s is doubling down on what works. By investing in Bloomingdale’s and Bluemercury, the company is hedging its bets on markets that feel less like a gamble. But can these brands carry the weight of the entire operation? That’s the million-dollar question.

Revamping the Macy’s Experience

Macy’s isn’t just closing stores—it’s rethinking how its remaining ones operate. The company has rolled out a “First 50” initiative, upgrading 50 key locations with better staffing, sharper displays, and a curated merchandise mix. This has now expanded to 125 stores, roughly a third of the 350 Macy’s locations it plans to keep open. The results? Comparable sales in these revamped stores dropped just 0.8% year over year—way better than the overall brand’s performance.

Investing in customer experience is like planting seeds for loyalty—it takes time, but it grows.

– Retail strategist

I’ve always believed that retail is about connection, not just transactions. Macy’s seems to get that, speeding up online deliveries and adding staff to make shopping feel personal again. These changes aren’t flashy, but they’re the kind of practical moves that could win back shoppers who’ve drifted to competitors.


Leadership Changes and Economic Uncertainty

Change isn’t just happening on the sales floor—it’s happening at the top. Macy’s recently announced a new chief financial officer, Thomas Edwards, who brings experience from the luxury retail world. His arrival comes at a critical time, as the company navigates not just tariffs but also broader economic uncertainty. Consumers, even affluent ones, are feeling cautious, and that’s a problem when your turnaround depends on them opening their wallets.

According to retail experts, this uncertainty stems from unpredictable policy shifts, like on-again-off-again tariff announcements. It’s like trying to plan a picnic during a thunderstorm—you can prepare, but you’re still at the mercy of the weather. Macy’s CEO has acknowledged this, noting that even high-income customers are feeling the pinch of confusion and concern.

What’s Next for Macy’s?

So, where does Macy’s go from here? The company’s sticking to its sales forecast of $21 billion to $21.4 billion for 2025, but the profit cut—from $2.05-$2.25 to $1.60-$2 per share—signals tough times ahead. Still, I’m cautiously optimistic. The focus on Bloomingdale’s and Bluemercury feels like a step toward a leaner, more premium brand portfolio, and the store upgrades show a commitment to quality over quantity.

  1. Continue closing underperforming stores: Streamlining is painful but necessary.
  2. Invest in customer experience: Faster deliveries and better in-store service are key.
  3. Leverage strong brands: Bloomingdale’s and Bluemercury could be the growth engines.

But let’s not sugarcoat it: tariffs and cautious spending could throw a wrench in even the best-laid plans. Macy’s will need to stay nimble, balancing discounts with brand value and navigating a retail landscape that’s as unpredictable as ever.

Why This Matters for Retail Investors

For anyone watching the retail sector, Macy’s is a case study in adaptation. Its stock has taken a hit—down 29% this year compared to the S&P 500’s slight gains—but that could spell opportunity for patient investors. A market value of $3.35 billion feels like a discount for a brand with Macy’s history, but the risks are real. Tariffs, consumer hesitancy, and the sheer cost of restructuring could weigh heavily.

Retail Success Formula:
  50% Strategic Vision
  30% Customer Focus
  20% Economic Adaptability

In my experience, retail turnarounds are never easy, but they’re often worth watching. Macy’s is betting on a future where quality trumps quantity, and if it can pull that off, it might just redefine what a department store can be in 2025 and beyond.

So, what do you think? Is Macy’s poised for a comeback, or are the headwinds too strong? The retail world is watching, and I’ll be keeping an eye on how this iconic brand navigates the storm.

The four most dangerous words in investing are: 'This time it's different.'
— Sir John Templeton
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Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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