Mag 7 Earnings: Alphabet Soars, Meta and Microsoft Slide

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Oct 29, 2025

Alphabet's cloud explodes past expectations, sending shares to records, but Meta takes a $16B tax hit and Microsoft’s Azure growth falls short of hype. What does this mean for the AI-fueled bull run? The after-hours moves were wild...

Financial market analysis from 29/10/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Have you ever watched a single afternoon turn the tech world upside down? That’s exactly what happened when three of the biggest names in the Magnificent Seven dropped their quarterly numbers all at once. It felt like the market was holding its breath, and then—boom—shares started flying in every direction.

The Split Verdict That Shook After-Hours Trading

Picture this: the closing bell rings, traders lean into their screens, and within minutes, one stock is rocketing toward all-time highs while two others are plunging like stones. This wasn’t just another earnings day; it was a stark reminder of how unforgiving the market can be when expectations run sky-high. In my view, these moments reveal more about investor sentiment than any forecast ever could.

The standout performer came from the search giant, delivering numbers that not only beat the street but painted a picture of sustained dominance in the cloud arena. Meanwhile, the social media behemoth stumbled under the weight of a massive one-time charge, and the software titan left some wondering if the AI hype train might be slowing down. Let’s break it all down, piece by piece, without the jargon overload.

Cloud Powerhouse Delivers the Upside Surprise

Starting with the clear winner of the evening. Revenue came in strong, clocking growth that outpaced even the most optimistic calls. But the real story? The cloud division absolutely crushed it, growing over a third year-over-year and signaling that enterprises are still hungry for AI infrastructure.

I’ve always believed that backlog numbers tell you more about future momentum than current sales ever do. Here, that figure hit an eye-popping level—think triple-digit billions—hinting at deals locked in for quarters to come. It’s the kind of metric that makes you sit up and pay attention, especially when paired with aggressive spending plans.

The investment cycle in artificial intelligence remains very much alive and well.

Capital expenditures? They blew past estimates, both for the quarter and the full-year outlook. The company is pouring money into data centers and custom silicon like there’s no tomorrow. Some might call it reckless, but in the race to power the next generation of AI applications, staying ahead means spending big today.

  • Cloud revenue up 34%—well above forecasts
  • Backlog swelling to record territory
  • Full-year capex guidance raised significantly
  • AI model integration across core products accelerating

Advertising held steady with solid gains across search and video platforms, while subscriptions and devices added another layer of growth. Operating margins took a slight dip, but when you’re investing this heavily in the future, a little compression feels like the cost of staying relevant. Shares responded exactly as you’d expect—soaring in after-hours trade and brushing new record territory.

Social Giant Stumbles on a Tax Hammer

Now, flip the script to the company that literally invented the “like” button. On paper, the numbers looked respectable: revenue growth in the mid-20s, advertising performing as hoped, user engagement climbing. So why the sharp drop after the close? One word: taxes.

A massive charge—north of fifteen billion—wiped out earnings per share, turning what should have been a solid beat into a glaring miss. It’s frustrating when operational excellence gets overshadowed by accounting realities, but that’s the game sometimes. Strip away the noise, and the core business is still firing on most cylinders.

Daily active users across the family of apps crossed another milestone, ad impressions grew double-digits, and pricing held firm. The metaverse division? Still burning cash, though losses came in better than feared. Guidance for expenses and capex ticked higher, which isn’t shocking given the push into new hardware and AI features.

MetricResultvs. Expectation
Revenue Growth+26%Beat
Ad Impressions+14%Beat
EPS (Reported)Massive MissTax Charge
Capex OutlookRaisedAbove Est.

Perhaps the most interesting aspect is how quickly the market punished perfection interrupted by a one-off hit. Investors hate surprises, even when the underlying story remains intact. The holiday quarter outlook suggested some caution around premium hardware sales, but nothing catastrophic. Still, the initial reaction was brutal—shares tumbling double-digits at one point.

Software Leader’s Cloud Growth: Good, But Not Great

The final piece of the puzzle came from the enterprise software kingpin. Overall revenue sailed past estimates, cloud bookings looked healthy, and productivity tools continued their steady march. Yet the stock slid anyway. Why? Expectations had simply outrun reality.

The Azure platform grew nearly 40% when adjusted for currency swings—impressive by any historical standard, and ahead of consensus. But whisper numbers on the buyside were whispering low-40s, and when you miss the unofficial target, the algos don’t care about context. It’s a classic case of “priced to perfection.”

We continue to increase investments in AI across capital and talent to meet massive opportunity.

– Company leadership

Capital spending jumped sharply quarter-over-quarter, reflecting the buildout of data centers needed to handle AI workloads. Partnerships in the generative AI space got an extension, which should ease some concerns about competitive threats. Personal computing segments surprised to the upside, helped by back-to-school demand and new hardware cycles.

  1. Azure expansion beats street view
  2. Data center capex accelerates dramatically
  3. Productivity suite maintains momentum
  4. Gaming and devices provide tailwind

Margins expanded nicely, and the constant-currency growth rate crushed estimates. In another era, this would be cause for celebration. But when your valuation assumes perpetual hypergrowth, even strong becomes “meh.” The after-hours dip recovered some ground as analysts digested the details, but the initial selloff spoke volumes about sentiment.


Reading the Tea Leaves: What It All Means

Stepping back, these three reports form a mosaic of the current tech landscape. One company is riding the AI infrastructure wave with conviction, another is navigating regulatory and accounting headwinds while scaling new frontiers, and the third is executing flawlessly yet battling sky-high expectations.

In my experience, markets overreact in both directions on earnings day. The winner’s surge might fade as profit-taking emerges, while the losers could rebound if guidance on conference calls paints a rosier picture. Remember, these are trillion-dollar enterprises—quarterly noise rarely derails long-term trajectories.

The common thread? Capital intensity. Every player is spending at levels that would have seemed insane five years ago. Data centers, custom chips, talent acquisition—the bill is enormous, but so is the prize. Whoever builds the picks and shovels for the AI gold rush stands to win big.

Investor Takeaways Amid the Volatility

If you’re holding positions in any of these names, resist the urge to trade the headline. Look deeper: Are revenue trends accelerating? Is the competitive moat widening? How sustainable is the capex ramp? These questions matter more than a few hours of after-market gyrations.

For the broader market, the message is mixed but ultimately constructive. Cloud adoption isn’t slowing, AI demand is real, and advertising dollars are still flowing to dominant platforms. Valuation will always be the wildcard—paying a premium for growth requires faith that the growth persists.

One subtle opinion I’ll offer: the company with the clearest AI integration across its ecosystem might have the most durable advantage. Search, mobile, video—when your AI powers everyday user experiences, the flywheel spins faster. Others are playing catch-up, and that gap could widen before it narrows.

Looking Ahead to the Next Catalyst

With the Fed in the rearview and these mega-reports digested, attention turns to economic data, geopolitical risks, and the inevitable holiday shopping season. Will consumer spending hold up? Can enterprise budgets withstand higher rates? These macro factors will influence whether the tech rally has legs.

Inside the numbers, watch for updates on AI monetization. Are enterprises paying premiums for specialized cloud instances? How quickly are inference costs coming down? The company that cracks efficient scaling while maintaining margins wins the long game.

Finally, a rhetorical question: If capital spending is the new arms race, who’s most likely to blink first? History suggests the deepest pockets rarely do. But even giants face diminishing returns eventually. For now, though, the investment boom shows no signs of abating.

In the end, earnings season is less about the past quarter and more about confidence in the future. One soared on that confidence, two faltered under its weight. As always, the truth lies somewhere in the middle—and the market will spend the coming weeks figuring out exactly where.

Whether you’re a trader, a long-term investor, or just someone fascinated by how technology shapes markets, days like this remind us why we pay attention. The story is still being written, and the next chapter promises to be just as compelling.

If you have trouble imagining a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn't be in stocks.
— John Bogle
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Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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