Monday’s Biggest Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades

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Dec 8, 2025

Wall Street just dropped a flood of new calls: Nvidia still a buy, Tesla suddenly “wait and see,” Apple marching to $325, and Carvana exploding toward $455. One major bank even flipped GM back to overweight. Which moves should you care about before Monday’s open? Keep reading…

Financial market analysis from 08/12/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Mondays in December always feel a little electric, don’t they? The holiday lights are up, the eggnog is flowing, yet Wall Street refuses to take a break. This morning, before most of us finished the first cup of coffee, analysts across the Street unleashed a barrage of new ratings and price target changes that could easily move billions of dollars by the closing bell. Some of the biggest names in tech, autos, energy, and even retail discount chains found themselves under the microscope.

I’ve been covering these early-week note storms for years, and today’s list feels particularly spicy. You’ve got conviction buys on old favorites, surprising downgrades on momentum darlings, and a handful of under-the-radar names suddenly getting love. Let’s unpack the ones that actually matter for the week ahead.

The Highlights That Caught My Eye This Morning

Nvidia – Still the King, Apparently

Look, at this point it almost feels redundant to say analysts love Nvidia, but the conviction keeps getting louder. One prominent shop reiterated their outperform rating and basically said the data-center opportunity remains “enormous and still early.” That’s code for: the AI spending party isn’t close to over.

In my experience, when the Street keeps pounding the table on the same name for months (sometimes years), it’s usually because the earnings revisions are still heading north. Nvidia continues to enjoy that rare air where every print beats and the guide goes higher. Hard to bet against that combo.

Tesla – A Rare Downgrade Hits

On the flip side, one of the big banks finally threw in the towel and moved Tesla to equal weight. Their reasoning? The stock already prices in the robotaxi dreams, the full-self-driving optimism, and pretty much every non-auto catalyst you can imagine. Trading at 30 times 2030 EBITDA on the downside case apparently felt rich enough to step aside.

Honestly, I get it. Tesla has been the ultimate “story stock” for years, but valuation gravity eventually shows up. The question now is whether this note becomes the catalyst for a deeper pullback or just another dip that believers rush to buy.

“With non-auto catalysts priced in, we assume coverage at equal weight and wait for a better entry.”

Major investment bank, December 2025

Apple – The Quiet $325 March

Apple rarely makes the loudest headlines these days, yet one influential firm just lifted their price target all the way to $325 while keeping an outperform rating. The thesis is refreshingly simple: Apple doesn’t need to build the flashiest AI models; it just needs to operate the toll booth while everyone else pays to pass through the ecosystem.

Think App Store cuts on AI subscriptions, higher services margins, and a hardware upgrade cycle quietly fueled by Apple Intelligence features. Sometimes the tortoise really does win.

Carvana – From Meme to S&P 500 Darling

Remember when Carvana was left for dead in 2022? Fast-forward to today and one major bank is pounding the table with a $455 price target after the company earned a spot in the S&P 500. That’s not a typo – four hundred and fifty-five dollars.

The turnaround story here has been nothing short of remarkable: cost cuts, debt restructuring, and a used-car market that finally played nice. When the index inclusion news hits on December 22, passive flows alone could light this thing up.

General Motors – Back in Favor

Another surprise this morning: a big bank upgraded General Motors to overweight. Over the past year, management has dialed back the most aggressive EV spend, right-sized China exposure, and started returning serious cash to shareholders. Sometimes boring capital allocation wins the day.

  • Tempered EV growth curve (Ultium ramp looks realistic now)
  • Cruise spending under control
  • Share buybacks accelerating
  • Traditional truck/SUV business still printing money

Feels like the market is finally giving Mary Barra credit for pivoting without blowing up the balance sheet.

Energy & Power Generation Winners

Two names in the power space got nice shout-outs. Analysts see Generac riding multiple tailwinds – more frequent storms, grid instability, and the residential solar-plus-storage boom. Meanwhile, several oil & gas names (Devon Energy, Matador Resources) picked up buy or overweight initiations on strong well performance and efficiency programs.

I’ve said it before: the energy transition isn’t a light switch. It’s messy, it takes decades, and companies that can make money on both sides of the trade often end up the quiet compounders.

Quick Hits – The Rest of the Action

Before we wrap, here are some other moves worth a quick scan:

  • Visa & Mastercard both upgraded to buy – attractive entry points after the recent pullback
  • TSMC target raised to $330 – still the foundry everyone depends on
  • Thermo Fisher moved to overweight ahead of what looks like an acquisition-fueled growth acceleration
  • Five Below upgraded to buy – analysts finally see the growth engine turning again
  • KB Home gets overweight love on improving ROE outlook into 2027
  • Old Dominion & Canadian Pacific both upgraded – quality freight names when the cycle eventually turns
  • Netflix interestingly downgraded on concerns the Warner deal might be too pricey

And yes, someone even initiated coverage on bitcoin miner Canaan with a buy rating. Because of course they did.


Bottom line? The analyst community is still finding plenty of ideas even as we head into the typically sleepy final weeks of the year. Some of today’s notes will be forgotten by Wednesday; others might set the tone for the first quarter of 2026.

My personal watchlist coming out of this morning includes Apple (for the steady services compounding), Carvana (because index inclusion is real money), and Generac (the macro trends there feel unstoppable). Your mileage may vary, of course – that’s what makes markets fun.

Either way, grab another coffee. It’s going to be an interesting week.

Wealth is like sea-water; the more we drink, the thirstier we become.
— Arthur Schopenhauer
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Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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