PJM Grid Crisis: No New Data Centers Without Reliable Power?

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Dec 17, 2025

The US's biggest power grid is buckling under data center boom, with a watchdog filing to block new connections unless power is reliable. Costs already up billions—will this trigger blackouts or force tech giants to foot the bill?

Financial market analysis from 17/12/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Imagine flipping on your lights one evening, only to wonder if the power will hold steady. Lately, that’s not just a fleeting thought for millions—it’s becoming a real concern in parts of the country where the electric grid is feeling the pinch like never before.

The culprit? Those massive buildings humming away 24/7, packed with servers powering everything from your streaming shows to the latest AI breakthroughs. Data centers are exploding in number and size, and they’re thirsty for electricity in a way that’s catching everyone off guard.

In the heart of this storm is the nation’s largest power grid, managing electricity for over 65 million people across more than a dozen states. Recently, its independent watchdog raised a red flag, insisting that no more big data centers should hook up unless the system can handle them without risking outages.

It’s a bold move that’s sparking heated debate. On one side, worries about blackouts and skyrocketing bills. On the other, the unstoppable march of tech innovation. I’ve been following this closely, and honestly, it feels like we’re at a crossroads where energy policy meets the digital age head-on.

The Growing Strain on America’s Biggest Power Grid

The grid in question covers a huge swath from the Midwest to the Mid-Atlantic, coordinating wholesale power markets and keeping the lights on for homes, businesses, and industries alike. For years, it operated with relative stability, but the past couple of years have changed everything.

Data centers, especially those built for cloud computing and artificial intelligence, are driving unprecedented demand. Forecasts show peak load could jump by tens of gigawatts in just a few years, with the vast majority tied to these facilities. That’s equivalent to powering millions of additional homes—except it’s concentrated in specific hotspots.

Northern Virginia, often called “data center alley,” is ground zero, but the growth is spreading to Ohio, Illinois, and beyond. These aren’t small operations; a single campus can gulp down power comparable to a mid-sized city.

What surprises me is how quickly this shifted. Just a few years back, demand was flat or even declining in some areas due to efficiency gains. Now, with AI training models requiring immense computing power, we’re seeing the fastest growth in decades.

Why the Watchdog Sounded the Alarm

Late last month, the grid’s market monitor filed an official complaint with federal regulators. The core argument? The operator shouldn’t allow new large loads—like data centers—if it can’t serve them reliably without potential interruptions.

Adding loads that can’t be served reliably isn’t consistent with maintaining a dependable system.

They pointed out that discussions among stakeholders revealed hesitation about whether the grid operator even has the authority to delay connections until adequate supply and infrastructure are in place. The monitor says yes, it does—and it should use it.

In their view, proposing rules that might rely on periodic curtailments for these new customers (or worse, others) crosses a line. Reliability has to come first.

This came right after stakeholders couldn’t reach consensus on new interconnection frameworks. The board is now tasked with crafting a proposal, but the complaint seeks quick clarification to guide that process.

The Soaring Costs Already Hitting Ratepayers

It’s not just about potential blackouts. The financial impact is already massive. Recent capacity auctions saw prices spike dramatically, adding billions in costs that flow through to electricity bills.

Analyses attribute a huge chunk of those increases—over $16 billion in just the last two auctions—to existing and projected data center growth. And that’s before many more come online.

Transmission upgrades needed to accommodate these concentrated loads are expensive too. Without careful rules, everyday customers end up subsidizing the infrastructure for tech giants.

  • Higher capacity market prices driving up wholesale costs
  • Billions in new transmission investments
  • Potential for even steeper rate hikes if demand outpaces supply

In my opinion, this feels like a classic case of growth outrunning planning. Tech companies are racing ahead, but the grid can’t magically expand overnight.

The Broader Boom in Data Center Energy Hunger

Zoom out, and this issue isn’t isolated. Globally, data centers are projected to consume far more electricity in the coming years, fueled largely by AI.

In the US alone, their share of total power use could double or more by the end of the decade. Hyperscale facilities for training large models are particularly power-intensive, with cooling alone accounting for a big portion.

Efficiency improvements help, but they often get outpaced by sheer scale. New chips and designs demand more juice, and the push for faster AI development isn’t slowing.

Electricity needs from these centers could rival entire countries’ consumption soon.

Other grids are grappling too, but this region’s concentration makes it especially acute. States are courting these developments for jobs and revenue, yet ratepayers bear much of the burden.

Possible Paths Forward: Flexibility or Strict Limits?

Stakeholders floated various ideas during recent discussions. Some push for requiring new loads to bring matching generation—essentially self-supplying to avoid straining the shared system.

Others explore “flexible” options, where data centers agree to reduce usage during peaks, perhaps getting incentives or faster approvals in return.

Co-location—pairing centers with on-site power plants—is another hot topic, though it raises its own regulatory questions.

  1. Improved forecasting to avoid over- or under-planning
  2. Priority processing for projects that add net reliability
  3. Demand response programs tailored for large loads
  4. Clear rules on when curtailment is acceptable

There’s also talk of national guidelines, as federal energy officials look at standardizing approaches across regions.

Personally, I think a balanced mix makes sense. Strict moratoriums might stifle innovation, but unchecked growth risks real reliability issues. Perhaps the most interesting aspect is how data centers could actually help—if designed to flex and support the grid.

What This Means for Everyday Consumers and Businesses

For households, the immediate worry is bills. Analysts warn of significant increases in coming years if costs aren’t reined in.

Businesses reliant on stable power—factories, hospitals, you name it—fear any dip in reliability. And in extreme scenarios, selective outages could become a tool, though no one wants that.

On the flip side, these centers bring economic benefits: jobs, tax revenue, tech advancement. States are competing fiercely to attract them.

The challenge is allocating costs fairly. Should tech firms pay more upfront for upgrades they necessitate? Many argue yes.

Looking Ahead: Regulatory Decisions and Industry Responses

Federal regulators now have the complaint on their desk, alongside broader initiatives. A ruling could come soon, influencing the grid operator’s upcoming proposal.

Industry groups are pushing back, warning delays could hamper growth. Power providers and generators also weigh in, some supporting stricter controls.

Meanwhile, tech companies are exploring alternatives: efficiency tech, renewable deals, even on-site generation.

Whatever happens, this saga underscores a bigger truth—we need smarter planning for our energy future. Renewables, storage, better grids all play roles.

In the end, balancing explosive tech demand with reliable, affordable power won’t be easy. But getting it right is crucial. After all, our increasingly digital lives depend on it.


This situation keeps evolving, and it’s one worth watching. How we handle it could shape energy markets, tech development, and even daily life for years to come.

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The best way to predict the future is to create it.
— Peter Drucker
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