Solana Price Analysis: $178 Resistance and $105 Support Test

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Jul 1, 2025

Solana’s battling $178 resistance, with $105 support in sight. Will it hold for a bullish reversal? Uncover the key levels driving SOL’s next move.

Financial market analysis from 01/07/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Ever stared at a crypto chart, heart racing, wondering if the price will hold or crash? That’s the vibe right now with Solana (SOL), as it dances around a critical $178 resistance level. After multiple failed attempts to break through, traders are eyeing the $105 support zone, hoping for a bullish double bottom to spark a reversal. Let’s unpack what’s happening with Solana’s price action, why these levels matter, and what you can expect next in this wild crypto ride.

Solana’s Battle at $178: A Turning Point?

Solana’s been flexing its muscles lately, pushing toward the $178 mark like a boxer testing an opponent’s defense. But each attempt has met a firm rejection, leaving traders wondering if this resistance is an unbreakable wall or just a temporary hurdle. The $178 level isn’t just a random number—it’s a high time frame resistance that aligns with the value area high, a key zone where sellers have consistently stepped in.

Why does this matter? In technical analysis, repeated rejections at a specific price point signal strong seller control, often leading to a pullback. For Solana, the failure to close above $178 has created a bearish pattern of lower highs and lower lows, hinting at potential downside unless buyers step up with conviction.

Price action tells a story—rejections at resistance often precede a test of lower supports.

– Crypto trading expert

Personally, I’ve seen this pattern play out countless times in crypto markets. It’s like watching a tug-of-war where one side keeps losing ground. If Solana can’t muster the strength to break $178 soon, the path to $105 becomes almost inevitable.

The $105 Support: A Double Bottom in Play?

Let’s shift gears and talk about the $105.89 level—a price point that’s got traders buzzing. This isn’t just another support; it’s a structural low that could set the stage for a classic double bottom pattern. For those new to the game, a double bottom looks like a “W” on the chart, signaling a potential reversal if buyers defend the level with gusto.

Here’s the deal: if Solana drops to $105 and holds firm, it could confirm this bullish setup, giving traders a reason to jump back in. But if it breaks below, things could get ugly fast, flipping the broader trend bearish. The stakes are high, and volume will be the key to watch—strong buying volume at $105 could be the spark Solana needs.

  • Support Strength: $105.89 aligns with a high time frame structural low.
  • Bullish Signal: A double bottom could trigger a rally if defended.
  • Risk Factor: A break below $105 risks a deeper correction.

Imagine Solana as a surfer riding a wave. Right now, it’s struggling to stay on the board at $178. If it wipes out, $105 is the next wave to catch—or it might sink deeper into the ocean. The question is, will buyers show up to keep the ride going?

Auction Theory: Why Price Might Rotate Lower

Diving into auction theory, Solana’s price action is following a classic market playbook. After failing to hold above the value area high near $178, the market is likely to “rotate” toward the value area low, which sits around $105. This rotation happens because markets naturally seek balance, moving from overbought to oversold zones.

Think of it like a pendulum swinging back and forth. The rejection at $178 is the swing to one extreme, and now the market’s momentum could carry it toward $105 to find equilibrium. This isn’t just guesswork—volume profiles and price action confirm this setup, with sellers dominating above $178.

Market Balance Formula:
High Resistance Rejection + Low Volume = Rotation to Support

In my experience, these rotations can be a trader’s best friend or worst enemy. If you’re prepared, you can position yourself for the bounce at $105. If you’re caught off guard, you might be left chasing a falling price.

What’s Driving Solana’s Price Action?

Solana’s current price of $147.99 reflects a 5.69% drop over the last 24 hours, with a market cap of $79.2 billion and a trading volume of $4.5 billion. These numbers tell us the market is active, but the bearish tilt suggests sellers are in control for now. Broader market trends, like Bitcoin’s rejection at high levels, might also be weighing on Solana, as altcoins often follow BTC’s lead.

Another factor? Sentiment in the crypto space. With other altcoins like Shiba Inu and Pepe also seeing red, it’s clear the market is in a cautious mood. Perhaps the most interesting aspect is how Solana’s ecosystem—known for its fast transactions and DeFi dominance—could influence its ability to recover if $105 holds.

MetricValue
Current Price$147.99
24h Change-5.69%
Market Cap$79.2B
24h Volume$4.5B

These stats paint a picture of a market at a crossroads. Solana’s still a heavyweight, but it needs to prove its resilience at key levels to avoid a deeper slide.

Trading Strategies for Solana’s Next Move

So, how do you play this? Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just dipping your toes into crypto, having a game plan is crucial. Here are a few strategies to consider based on Solana’s current setup:

  1. Wait for Confirmation at $105: If Solana tests $105, watch for strong buying volume or a candlestick reversal pattern like a bullish engulfing candle.
  2. Short the Breakdown: If $105 fails, a short position targeting lower supports (around $90) could be viable, but set tight stop-losses.
  3. Buy the Breakout: Should Solana reclaim $178 with conviction, consider a long position targeting $200, a psychological resistance.

Here’s a pro tip: always keep an eye on Bitcoin’s price action. If BTC breaks down, altcoins like Solana often follow. It’s like the big brother of the crypto world setting the tone for the rest.

Successful trading is about patience—wait for the market to show its hand.

I’ve found that jumping the gun on trades often leads to regret. Waiting for clear signals, whether at $105 or $178, can save you from costly mistakes.


The Bigger Picture: Solana’s Role in Crypto

Beyond the charts, Solana’s fundamentals remain a key reason traders are still bullish long-term. Its high-speed blockchain and growing DeFi ecosystem make it a favorite for developers and investors alike. Even with the current price struggles, Solana’s ability to process thousands of transactions per second keeps it competitive against Ethereum and newer chains.

But let’s be real—crypto markets don’t care about fundamentals when sentiment turns sour. The question is whether Solana can weather this storm and capitalize on its strengths once the market stabilizes. A successful defense of $105 could be the catalyst for a fresh rally, especially if broader market conditions improve.

Solana’s Strengths:
- 50,000 TPS (Transactions Per Second)
- Growing DeFi and NFT ecosystems
- Strong developer community

Maybe I’m a bit optimistic, but Solana’s tech gives it an edge that could shine through once the market finds its footing. The $105 level might just be the springboard it needs.

What to Watch Next

As Solana hovers below $178, the next few days will be critical. Here’s what to keep on your radar:

  • Volume Spikes: Look for increased buying volume at $105 to confirm support.
  • Bitcoin’s Influence: A BTC breakdown could drag Solana lower.
  • Market Sentiment: Watch broader altcoin performance for clues on Solana’s direction.

The crypto market is like a rollercoaster—thrilling, unpredictable, and sometimes a little nauseating. Solana’s at a pivotal moment, and whether it holds $105 or breaks lower will set the tone for its next move. Stay sharp, keep your charts close, and don’t let emotions cloud your trades.

Final Thoughts: Navigating Solana’s Path

Solana’s price action is a classic case of market tug-of-war, with $178 resistance and $105 support as the battle lines. The potential for a double bottom at $105 offers hope for bulls, but the bearish structure below $178 keeps the pressure on. Whether you’re trading or HODLing, understanding these levels and their implications is key to making informed decisions.

In my view, the $105 test could be a make-or-break moment for Solana. A strong defense could spark a rally, while a failure might signal tougher times ahead. Whatever happens, approach the market with a clear plan and a cool head—crypto’s too wild for anything less.

In crypto, patience and preparation are your best allies.

– Veteran trader

So, what’s your take? Will Solana bounce back at $105, or is a deeper correction looming? The charts are talking—time to listen and act.

Wealth creation is an evolutionarily recent positive-sum game. Status is an old zero-sum game. Those attacking wealth creation are often just seeking status.
— Naval Ravikant
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Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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