S&P 500 Futures Rise as Inflation Data Looms

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Dec 17, 2025

S&P 500 futures are ticking up after four straight losing days, but tomorrow's inflation report could change everything. Tech stocks took a hit today—will the selling continue, or is this just a healthy pause in a strong year? Dive into the details...

Financial market analysis from 17/12/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Have you ever watched the market drop for days on end and wondered if the party is finally over? That’s exactly the feeling hanging over Wall Street right now as we close out another volatile trading session on December 17, 2025. After four straight losing days for major indexes, there’s a glimmer of hope in the overnight futures, but everyone knows the real test comes tomorrow with fresh inflation numbers.

It’s moments like these that remind me why investing can feel more like riding a rollercoaster than building steady wealth. One day you’re celebrating record highs, the next you’re questioning every decision. Yet somehow, the market always finds a way to keep us on our toes.

A Cautious Rebound in Overnight Trading

As the evening wore on, something interesting started happening. Futures tied to the major indexes began edging higher, offering a small sigh of relief after Wednesday’s sell-off. The S&P 500 futures managed a modest gain of about 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures performed a bit better at 0.3%. Even the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures nudged up slightly.

This isn’t exactly a roaring comeback, but in the context of recent days, it feels meaningful. Traders seem to be positioning themselves ahead of what could be a pivotal data release. In my experience, these quiet overnight moves often set the tone for the next session—sometimes more than the dramatic intraday swings we’re all used to watching.

One bright spot came from after-hours trading in semiconductors. Shares of a major memory chip maker surged more than 7% following better-than-expected quarterly results and upbeat guidance. It’s a reminder that even in tough markets, strong fundamentals can still shine through.

Why Tomorrow’s Inflation Report Matters So Much

Let’s be honest—the entire market is holding its breath for November’s consumer price index reading. This will be the first major inflation update since normal government operations resumed, and economists are looking for headline inflation around 3.1% year-over-year.

Why does this number carry so much weight? Because it could influence everything from interest rate expectations to sector rotations. If inflation comes in hotter than expected, we might see renewed pressure on growth stocks. Cooler numbers, on the other hand, could breathe new life into the rally.

I’ve found that these inflation reports have become the new Fed meetings—moments when markets collectively decide whether to embrace risk or head for cover. The fact that we’re getting this data after a string of losing sessions only adds to the drama.

  • Headline CPI expected at 3.1% year-over-year
  • Core inflation likely to show more moderate increases
  • Potential catalyst for sector rotation if surprises occur
  • Market positioning suggests traders are preparing for volatility

Tech Sector Takes the Brunt of Recent Selling

If there’s one theme dominating recent trading, it’s the pressure on technology stocks—particularly those tied to artificial intelligence infrastructure. Wednesday’s session saw significant declines across the semiconductor space, with several big names dropping sharply.

The trigger appeared to be concerns around massive data center investments. Reports about challenges with large-scale projects sent ripples through related stocks, raising questions about the sustainability of current spending levels. It’s fascinating how quickly sentiment can shift from “build at all costs” to questioning the economics.

Major chip designers and manufacturers felt the pain, with losses ranging from moderate to quite severe. Even companies not directly involved saw sympathetic selling. This kind of contagion is classic in interconnected sectors like technology.

The technology sector remains up substantially for the year despite recent pullbacks, having just completed one of its strongest runs in recent memory.

– Market strategist observation

Perhaps the most interesting aspect is how quickly narratives change. Just weeks ago, AI infrastructure spending was viewed as an unassailable growth driver. Now, every large deal faces scrutiny over costs and timelines. This is the market doing what it does best—pricing in new information and adjusting expectations.

Understanding the Broader Market Context

Stepping back from the daily noise, it’s worth remembering where we stand as 2025 draws to a close. The technology sector, despite recent weakness, has delivered impressive gains for the year—approaching 20% in some measures. That’s not the performance of a broken market.

What we’re seeing feels more like a natural breathing process. After extended runs higher, markets often consolidate, rotate, and test support levels. The fact that broader indexes have held up relatively well through this tech-focused selling speaks to underlying strength.

Investors have been gradually shifting toward areas that might perform better in different economic scenarios. This rotation isn’t necessarily bearish—it’s often healthy. Money moving from expensive growth names to more reasonably valued sectors can actually extend bull markets rather than end them.

What Individual Investors Should Consider

Times like these can be particularly challenging for individual investors. The temptation is often to react emotionally—either by selling at the wrong time or trying to time the bottom perfectly. In my view, maintaining perspective is crucial.

First, consider your time horizon. If you’re investing for goals years or decades away, short-term volatility is just noise. The market has always rewarded those who stay invested through difficult periods.

Second, think about diversification. Heavy concentration in any single sector—even one as promising as technology—carries risks. The current environment illustrates this perfectly.

  • Review portfolio allocation across sectors
  • Consider quality over momentum in stock selection
  • Maintain appropriate cash levels for opportunities
  • Avoid making permanent decisions based on temporary conditions
  • Remember that all major bull markets have pullbacks

There’s also something to be said for simply doing nothing during uncertain periods. Some of the best investment decisions are the ones you don’t make—the trades you resist when emotions run high.

Looking Ahead to Year-End and Beyond

As we approach the end of 2025, it’s natural to reflect on what kind of year it’s been. Despite recent challenges, most investors would likely sign up for the returns delivered across major indexes. The path was rarely smooth, but that’s rarely how wealth is built.

The coming weeks will likely bring more volatility as positions are adjusted for year-end and new strategies are implemented. Inflation data, corporate guidance, and economic indicators will all play their part in shaping sentiment.

Yet history suggests that markets often surprise those who become too pessimistic during corrections. The same forces that drove gains throughout the year—innovation, productivity growth, corporate profitability—haven’t suddenly disappeared.

Some air is being let out of the balloon, but the overall market is hanging in there all things considered.

This observation captures the current mood perfectly. We’re experiencing a normalization after an extraordinary run, not necessarily the beginning of something more sinister.

The Psychology of Market Corrections

One aspect of market behavior that never ceases to fascinate me is how quickly collective psychology can shift. During strong uptrends, risks seem minimal and optimism becomes self-reinforcing. When selling begins, suddenly every negative development feels confirmatory.

The current focus on data center economics is a perfect example. These same investments were celebrated as transformational just months ago. Now they’re viewed with suspicion. This isn’t hypocrisy—it’s human nature at work in financial markets.

Successful investors learn to recognize these emotional cycles without getting swept up in them. They understand that sentiment extremes—whether euphoric or fearful—tend to be poor timing indicators.

Final Thoughts on Navigating Uncertainty

As we await tomorrow’s inflation data and whatever reactions follow, it’s worth remembering that markets have survived far worse than a few losing sessions and sector rotation. The companies driving innovation and economic growth continue operating regardless of daily price fluctuations.

For those feeling anxious about recent developments, consider this: every major market advance in history has included periods that tested investor resolve. The difference between those who succeed over time and those who don’t often comes down to the ability to maintain conviction through uncomfortable periods.

The overnight futures action suggests at least some investors are willing to buy during weakness. Whether this proves prescient or premature will be revealed soon enough. Either way, the market will continue doing what it’s always done—surprising most participants most of the time.

In the end, perhaps the most valuable perspective is simply recognizing that uncertainty is the only constant in investing. Those who accept this reality and plan accordingly tend to navigate all market environments successfully.


Markets will open tomorrow with fresh data and new opportunities. Whatever direction prices take, the long-term trend of innovation and economic progress continues. That’s the bigger picture worth keeping in mind amid the daily noise.

The wealthy find ways to create their money first, and then they spend it. The financially enslaved spend their money first—if there's anything left over, they consider investing it.
— David Bach
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Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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