Top Stock Market Moves To Watch This Week

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Sep 7, 2025

Apple’s iPhone 17 launch and critical inflation data are set to shake up the stock market this week. Will the Fed cut rates? Dive into our analysis to find out what’s next!

Financial market analysis from 07/09/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Ever wonder what makes the stock market tick? Last week’s jobs report sent ripples through Wall Street, and now, all eyes are on two massive events that could shape your investments. From a tech giant’s latest gadget reveal to inflation numbers that might sway the Federal Reserve, this week is packed with action. Let’s dive into what’s coming and why it matters to you.

What’s Driving the Market This Week

The stock market is a wild ride, and this week’s events could either fuel the momentum or throw a curveball. Investors are buzzing about Apple’s annual product launch and a pair of inflation reports that could tip the scales on the Fed’s next move. I’ve been following markets for years, and moments like these? They’re where fortunes are made or lost. Let’s break it down.

Apple’s Big Reveal: iPhone 17 and Beyond

Tuesday afternoon, Apple takes the stage for its much-anticipated hardware event. Rumor has it, the iPhone 17 lineup will include the slimmest model yet—possibly dubbed the “iPhone 17 Air.” As someone who’s seen countless product launches, I can tell you: a sleek design can spark serious consumer buzz. But will it be enough to drive a wave of upgrades?

Apple’s been under pressure to deliver a game-changer, especially after last year’s iPhone 16 didn’t quite ignite the AI-driven upgrade cycle investors hoped for. Features like an enhanced Siri are still on the horizon, but a thinner phone could tempt some to trade in their old devices. And here’s the kicker: analysts are whispering about potential price hikes. If Apple nudges up the cost of its Pro models or phases out lower-storage options, it could boost revenue despite rising component costs.

A slimmer iPhone could be the spark that reignites consumer excitement, especially if priced strategically.

– Tech industry analyst

Besides the iPhone, expect updates to the Apple Watch and AirPods. These products might not move the needle as much, but they’re part of Apple’s ecosystem that keeps customers hooked. For investors, the question isn’t just about flashy hardware—it’s whether Apple can leverage these launches to keep its stock climbing. With recent wins like a favorable ruling in a major antitrust case, the company’s got some wind in its sails.


Inflation Data: The Fed’s Next Move

While Apple’s grabbing headlines, the real market-mover might be the inflation reports dropping this week. Wednesday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) and Thursday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) will give us a clear picture of where prices are headed—and whether the Fed will stick to its rate-cut plans.

The PPI, which tracks wholesale inflation, is like a crystal ball for what’s coming down the pipeline. Last July, it jumped 0.9% month-over-month, the biggest leap since mid-2022. Services, not goods, drove most of that spike. Investors will be laser-focused on whether August’s numbers show the same trend. Economists are betting on a modest 0.3% rise, both for headline and core PPI (which strips out volatile food and energy prices). If the data comes in hotter than expected, it could rattle markets.

  • PPI Focus: Are service costs still driving inflation?
  • Key Question: Will tariff-related price hikes show up in the data?
  • Investor Impact: A high PPI could signal rising consumer prices, shaking Fed rate-cut hopes.

Then comes the CPI on Thursday, the report everyone’s waiting for. It measures what consumers are actually paying, from groceries to rent. Expectations are for a 0.3% monthly increase and a 2.9% annual rate, down slightly from July’s 2.7%. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, is projected at 3.1% year-over-year. These numbers are critical because they’ll either confirm or challenge the Fed’s current stance on rates.

Inflation data is the pulse of the economy. If it’s steady, the Fed might ease rates, but a surprise spike could change everything.

– Financial strategist

Why does this matter? The Fed’s been hinting at a rate cut for its September 16-17 meeting, especially after last week’s softer-than-expected jobs report. That data fueled bets on not just a quarter-point cut but possibly a bolder half-point move. Lower rates could boost sectors like housing and tech, but a hot inflation report might force the Fed to pump the brakes.


Other Earnings to Watch

While Apple and inflation steal the spotlight, a few other companies are reporting earnings that could offer clues about the broader economy. Oracle’s results on Tuesday night will shed light on demand for AI cloud computing. Kroger’s Thursday morning report will reveal how consumers are spending, while Adobe’s numbers that evening will show whether AI is lifting the software sector.

CompanyReporting DateKey Insight
OracleTuesday NightAI cloud computing demand
KrogerThursday MorningConsumer spending trends
AdobeThursday NightAI’s impact on software

Oracle’s report is especially intriguing. The push for AI infrastructure has been a massive tailwind for tech, and any sign of sustained demand could lift related stocks. Kroger, meanwhile, is a window into the average consumer’s wallet. If shoppers are tightening their belts, it could signal broader economic slowdown. Adobe’s results will test whether AI can revive growth in the software-as-a-service space, which has faced headwinds lately.


What’s at Stake for Investors

So, what’s the big picture? The market’s at a crossroads. Apple’s event could either reignite excitement for tech stocks or leave investors wanting more. Inflation data will decide whether the Fed keeps its foot on the gas for rate cuts or hits the brakes. And those earnings reports? They’re like puzzle pieces, helping us see whether the economy’s humming along or starting to sputter.

Here’s my take: markets love certainty, and right now, there’s a lot of guesswork. A strong Apple launch could boost confidence in tech, especially if paired with stable inflation numbers. But if the PPI or CPI comes in hot, expect volatility. Investors might start worrying about a wage-price spiral, where rising wages and costs feed into each other, keeping inflation high.

  1. Watch Apple’s Pricing: Higher iPhone prices could offset costs but risk alienating budget-conscious buyers.
  2. Track Inflation Trends: Stable or cooling numbers keep rate-cut hopes alive; spikes could derail them.
  3. Eye Earnings: Oracle, Kroger, and Adobe will hint at whether AI and consumer spending are holding up.

Personally, I’m optimistic about Apple’s ability to pull off a win, even if it’s not a home run. The company’s knack for turning small innovations into big profits is unmatched. But the inflation reports? They’re the wildcard. If they surprise to the upside, all bets are off.


How to Play This Week

Navigating this week’s events requires a game plan. Here’s how I’d approach it as an investor. First, keep a close eye on Apple’s event. A strong launch could lift not just Apple’s stock but the broader tech sector. Second, don’t sleep on the inflation data. If the numbers align with expectations, markets could rally on rate-cut optimism. But if they’re hotter than expected, consider hedging with defensive stocks.

Finally, use those earnings reports to gauge the economy’s health. Strong results from Oracle could signal that the AI boom is still going strong, while Kroger’s numbers will tell you whether consumers are feeling the pinch. Adobe’s report might just surprise to the upside if AI integrations are gaining traction.

Smart investors don’t just react to news—they anticipate it. This week, preparation is everything.

– Market veteran

Perhaps the most interesting aspect is how these events intertwine. A blockbuster Apple launch paired with cooling inflation could set the stage for a market rally. But if inflation spikes or Apple disappoints, we could see a pullback. Either way, staying informed and nimble is key.


The Bigger Picture

Zooming out, this week is a microcosm of what makes investing so thrilling—and nerve-wracking. The interplay of corporate innovation, economic data, and central bank policy creates a complex puzzle. For me, it’s like watching a high-stakes chess match. Apple’s move could set the tone for tech, but the Fed’s response to inflation will decide the endgame.

So, grab your coffee, tune into Apple’s event, and keep your eyes glued to those inflation numbers. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just dipping your toes in, this week’s events will offer plenty of opportunities—and pitfalls. Stay sharp, and let’s see where the market takes us.

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