Top Stocks To Watch As Interest Rates Climb

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Jun 1, 2025

Rising interest rates could boost certain stocks. Which ones are set to outperform? Dive into our analysis of top financial picks and find out...

Financial market analysis from 01/06/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Have you ever wondered what happens to your investments when the financial world starts buzzing about rising interest rates? It’s like watching a storm brew on the horizon—some stocks get battered, while others seem to catch the wind and soar. Lately, with Treasury yields creeping up, I’ve been digging into which companies might actually thrive in this shifting economic landscape. The numbers are telling a story: the 10-year Treasury yield is hovering around 4.43%, nudging toward that critical 4.5% mark, while the 30-year bond is flirting with 5%. These levels aren’t just abstract figures—they signal investor unease about the economy, government debt, and even global trade policies. But here’s the kicker: some stocks, particularly in the financial sector, tend to shine when yields climb. Let’s unpack why and explore the top names poised to benefit.

Why Rising Interest Rates Matter for Investors

When Treasury yields rise, it’s like the economy’s pulse quickening. Higher yields often reflect investor concerns about inflation, government borrowing, or shifts in monetary policy. For instance, the recent jump from 4.01% to 4.43% on the 10-year Treasury note has sparked debates about where the U.S. economy is headed. Are we on the brink of a recession, or is this just a recalibration? I tend to lean toward the latter, but the uncertainty has definitely stirred things up. For investors, this environment can feel like navigating a maze—challenging, but full of opportunities if you know where to look.

Here’s the deal: rising yields tend to favor certain sectors, especially financials. Banks, insurers, and investment firms often see their profits swell as interest rates climb. Why? Higher rates mean better margins on loans, stronger returns on investments, and more robust revenue streams. A recent analysis I came across screened stocks that historically outperform when the 10-year Treasury yield ticks up. The results? Financials dominated, and a few names stood out as potential winners. Let’s dive into the top picks and why they’re worth watching.


Prudential Financial: A Dividend Powerhouse

First up is Prudential Financial, a giant in insurance and retirement planning. This stock has a knack for moving in lockstep with rising Treasury yields, boasting a 48% correlation with month-over-month changes in the 10-year note since 2014. That’s not just a random stat—it’s a clue that Prudential could be a solid bet in this environment. Despite a 12% dip in its stock price this year, the company’s 5.2% dividend yield is a beacon for income-focused investors. Who doesn’t love a steady payout, especially when markets get choppy?

Prudential’s ability to deliver consistent dividends makes it a standout in uncertain times.

– Financial analyst

What’s more, Prudential recently crushed Wall Street’s expectations with its first-quarter earnings, showing resilience even as yields fluctuate. Analysts are cautiously optimistic, with about two-thirds giving it a hold rating but projecting a 9% upside based on their price targets. For me, the real appeal is how Prudential balances stability with growth potential. It’s not flashy, but it’s dependable—a bit like that friend who always shows up when you need them.

JPMorgan Chase: The Banking Titan

Next on the list is JPMorgan Chase, a name that needs little introduction. This banking behemoth has gained over 10% in 2025, outpacing the S&P 500’s measly 1% rise. With a 35% correlation to rising 10-year yields, JPMorgan is well-positioned to capitalize on higher rates. The bank’s 2.1% dividend yield isn’t as juicy as Prudential’s, but its sheer market dominance makes it a compelling pick. I’ve always admired how JPMorgan navigates economic storms with a steady hand, and this year is no exception.

CEO Jamie Dimon has been vocal about potential recession risks, yet the bank’s recent earnings report tells a different story. Fueled by robust trading desk profits, JPMorgan blew past analyst forecasts. About 59% of analysts rate it a buy, with a consensus price target suggesting a modest 3% upside. But let’s be real—when a company this strong is firing on all cylinders, that “modest” upside could just be the start. What do you think—could JPMorgan be the anchor your portfolio needs?

JPMorgan’s trading strength is a testament to its adaptability in volatile markets.

– Market strategist

Other Contenders: Charles Schwab and MetLife

Rounding out the list are Charles Schwab and MetLife, two other financial heavyweights that thrive when yields rise. Charles Schwab, known for its brokerage and wealth management services, benefits from higher interest rates as clients shift toward fixed-income investments. MetLife, another insurance giant, mirrors Prudential’s strengths with its focus on retirement and life insurance products. Both companies have shown resilience in past yield spikes, making them worth a closer look for investors betting on a higher-rate environment.

  • Charles Schwab: Strong in wealth management, benefits from client demand for bonds.
  • MetLife: Offers stability with a focus on insurance and retirement solutions.

These names aren’t just random picks—they’re backed by data showing consistent outperformance when Treasury yields climb. But here’s a question: are you comfortable betting on financials, or does the broader economic uncertainty make you hesitant? I’ll admit, I sometimes second-guess diving too deep into one sector, but the numbers here are hard to ignore.


Why Financials Shine in a High-Yield Environment

Let’s break it down. Financial companies, especially banks and insurers, have a unique relationship with interest rates. When rates rise, banks like JPMorgan can charge more for loans while paying less on deposits, boosting their net interest margins. Insurers like Prudential and MetLife, meanwhile, see higher returns on their massive investment portfolios, which are often parked in bonds. It’s like a rising tide lifting certain boats—financials just happen to have the sturdiest hulls.

CompanySectorYield CorrelationDividend Yield
Prudential FinancialInsurance48%5.2%
JPMorgan ChaseBanking35%2.1%
Charles SchwabBrokerageHighN/A
MetLifeInsuranceModerateN/A

This table sums up why these stocks are on investors’ radars. The correlation to yields isn’t just a quirk—it’s a signal of how these companies are wired to perform. But there’s a catch: higher yields can also spook markets, driving volatility. That’s where diversification comes in, balancing these picks with other assets to cushion any unexpected dips.

Navigating the Economic Landscape

The broader economic picture is, frankly, a bit of a puzzle. On one hand, investor appetite for risk assets—stocks, crypto, you name it—has grown over the past couple of months. On the other, demand for Treasury debt is slipping, pushing yields higher. Add in the uncertainty around U.S. trade policies, and it’s enough to make anyone’s head spin. For instance, recent debates over tariffs have left markets on edge, with investors questioning how global trade might shift. Yet, amidst this chaos, financial stocks seem to hold their ground.

I find it fascinating how markets can be so contradictory. Investors are piling into stocks while shying away from bonds, yet the rising yields suggest caution. It’s like watching two waves crash into each other—beautiful, but unpredictable. For me, the takeaway is clear: focus on companies with strong fundamentals and a proven track record in high-yield environments. That’s where names like Prudential and JPMorgan come into play.

Markets thrive on uncertainty, but smart investors thrive on preparation.

– Investment advisor

How to Position Your Portfolio

So, what’s the game plan? If you’re looking to ride the wave of rising interest rates, consider these steps:

  1. Research the financial sector: Stocks like Prudential and JPMorgan are a good starting point, but dig deeper into their fundamentals.
  2. Monitor Treasury yields: Keep an eye on the 10-year and 30-year yields, as they’ll signal where the market’s headed.
  3. Diversify wisely: Balance financial stocks with other sectors to mitigate risk.
  4. Focus on dividends: High-yield stocks like Prudential can provide steady income, even in volatile markets.

These steps aren’t foolproof, but they’re a solid framework for navigating this environment. I’ve always believed that investing is less about predicting the future and more about preparing for it. What’s your approach—do you lean toward high-dividend stocks or diversify across sectors?


The Bigger Picture: What’s Driving Yields?

Before we wrap up, let’s zoom out. Why are Treasury yields climbing in the first place? It’s not just random market noise. Concerns about the U.S. economy, from ballooning government debt to trade policy shifts, are pushing investors to demand higher returns on bonds. The 30-year Treasury yield, now near 5%, is a flashing neon sign of this unease. Meanwhile, the S&P 500’s sluggish 1% gain this year shows that not every stock is thriving. Financials, however, seem to be carving out a niche.

Perhaps the most interesting aspect is how this all ties back to investor psychology. When yields rise, it’s like a tug-of-war between fear and opportunity. Financial stocks, with their strong fundamentals and yield sensitivity, often come out on top. But it’s not a sure thing—markets are unpredictable, and that’s what keeps things exciting.

Final Thoughts: Seizing the Opportunity

Rising interest rates might sound like a headache, but they’re also a chance to rethink your portfolio. Stocks like Prudential Financial, JPMorgan Chase, Charles Schwab, and MetLife are more than just names on a screen—they’re potential anchors in a stormy market. With their strong correlation to Treasury yields and solid fundamentals, these companies offer a compelling case for investors willing to do their homework. I’m not saying it’s a slam dunk, but the data speaks for itself. So, what’s your next move? Are you ready to bet on financials, or will you wait for the dust to settle?

In my experience, the best investors don’t just react to market shifts—they anticipate them. Keep an eye on those yields, stay diversified, and don’t be afraid to lean into sectors that thrive under pressure. The financial world is always full of surprises, but with the right strategy, you can turn uncertainty into opportunity.

If you have more than 120 or 130 I.Q. points, you can afford to give the rest away. You don't need extraordinary intelligence to succeed as an investor.
— Warren Buffett
Author

Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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