Two Cities Battle Crime: One Won Big, One Didn’t

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Dec 6, 2025

I got held up at gunpoint in one city and later watched another city practically beg for the same kind of help that saved the first one—yet turned it down flat. In just 56 days one city cut murders by 48%. The other lost millions in funding because of politics. Their stories are night and day...

Financial market analysis from 06/12/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

I still remember the exact second my life narrowed to the barrel of a gun.

It was a humid Memphis night, the kind where the air sticks to your skin. I had just parked behind my apartment complex after a long day of law school classes and was fumbling for my keys when two guys stepped out of the shadows. One pressed cold metal against my temple and said, very quietly, “Don’t make this worse than it has to be.” Twenty seconds later they had my wallet, my watch, and whatever illusions I still carried about personal safety in a big city. I stood there shaking long after their footsteps faded.

That single moment taught me something no classroom or headline ever could: when violence comes for you, ideology doesn’t matter. Debates about jurisdiction, funding sources, or whose “fault” crime is become meaningless. All that matters is whether someone, anyone, is doing everything humanly possible to stop the next guy from living through what I just did.

Over the years I’ve split my life between two cities that sit near the top of America’s most dangerous list. One decided to swallow its pride and accept outside help. The other drew a political line in the sand and dared the violence to cross it. The difference in results still keeps me up some nights.

A Tale of Two Approaches

Most people who only know these cities from cable news think the story is complicated. It really isn’t. One mayor said, “Come help us lock up the worst of the worst.” The other mayor essentially said, “We’ll handle it ourselves—thanks but no thanks.” The numbers that followed are almost too stark to believe.

What Happens When a City Says Yes

Memphis was bleeding. Drive-by shootings had become so routine that people started timing errands around sunset. Something had to give.

Local leadership made a simple call: bring in every resource available, politics be damned. They launched a joint task force with federal agencies—think FBI, ATF, U.S. Marshals—focused on the small fraction of repeat offenders driving most of the mayhem.

Fifty-six days. That’s all it took for reality to shift.

  • Murders dropped 48%
  • Sexual assaults fell 49%
  • Robberies plummeted 61%
  • Overall crime hit a 25-year low

Walk into a Memphis Grizzlies game now and you’ll hear regular people say things like, “Man, it just feels different out here.” That’s not PR spin; that’s a grandmother who can finally sit on her porch after dark.

“It is so peaceful… we’re just enjoying life and it just feels so free.”

— Lifetime Memphis resident, 2025

How did they do it? They stopped debating and started arresting the right people—the tiny sliver of career criminals who commit the vast majority of violent acts. Federal partners brought extra bodies, better intel, and, crucially, the ability to file charges in federal court where sentences are longer and plea deals are rarer.

Nobody in Memphis surrendered local control. They multiplied it.

What Happens When a City Says No

Roughly a thousand miles north, another big city faced the same epidemic of gunfire and fear. The solutions on the table looked almost identical: targeted federal strike forces, grant money for violence-interruption programs, the works.

The response from City Hall? A hard pass.

Leadership announced they would not accept any federal funding that came with strings attached—strings that, in practice, meant cooperating with immigration enforcement or broader federal crime initiatives. One violence-prevention nonprofit alone lost $3.7 million practically overnight.

The human cost shows up in the clearance rates:

  • Only 6% of major crimes end in an arrest
  • Fewer than 20% of murders are solved
  • Non-fatal shootings? A miserable 5% clearance rate

When criminals learn that the odds of getting caught are basically lottery-ticket low, they act accordingly. Teen “takeovers” of downtown streets, random attacks on public transit, gang shootouts in broad daylight—the footage is hard to watch because you know exactly how avoidable it was.

It’s Not About “Federal Overreach”

Let’s kill that talking point right now. Accepting federal help doesn’t mean handing over the keys to your police department. It means adding firepower—literally and figuratively—to go after the people who have turned certain neighborhoods into free-fire zones.

Memphis didn’t become a police state. They became a city where kids can play outside again.

Nobody is forcing any mayor to take the help. But when you reject it and the body count keeps climbing, spare us the lectures about “root causes” while grandmothers barricade themselves inside at 7 p.m.

The Moment Politics Gets Measured in Body Bags

I’m not naïve. Crime is tangled up in poverty, education, family breakdown, drugs—all of it. None of those things get fixed in 56 days. But here’s the part nobody wants to say out loud: while we’re waiting for generational problems to heal, people are dying right now.

Every ideological purity test has a price tag, and sometimes that price tag is written in blood.

One city decided that being “right” mattered less than keeping another teenager from bleeding out on a sidewalk. The other city is still debating the principle of the thing while the ambulances keep rolling.

What I Carry With Me

Some nights I still catch myself scanning parking lots before I get out of the car. Old habits from that Memphis mugging die hard. But when I visit family there now, something feels different. People move like they’ve remembered they’re allowed to feel safe in their own city.

In the other city, the tension is palpable. You see it in the way parents grip their kids’ hands a little tighter at bus stops. You hear it in the silence after another “shots fired” alert pings everyone’s phone.

I don’t have a PhD in criminology. I have something more useful: firsthand experience of what happens when leaders put results over rhetoric—and what happens when they don’t.

The data is clear. The streets are clearer in one city and chaotic in the other. And every elected official who still thinks this is about scoring political points instead of saving lives should be made to sit down with the mother of the latest shooting victim and explain why principle was more important than her child coming home.

Because from where I’m standing—someone who has literally stared down the wrong end of a gun—the choice seems pretty straightforward.

Keep people alive today. Argue about the rest tomorrow.

The real opportunity for success lies within the person and not in the job.
— Zig Ziglar
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