Why Defense Stocks Are Soaring In 2025

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Apr 16, 2025

Defense stocks are skyrocketing in 2025 as global demand surges. But is one undervalued giant the key to your portfolio’s growth? Click to find out!

Financial market analysis from 16/04/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Have you ever wondered what drives a stock to outperform the broader market, even when the economy feels like it’s on shaky ground? I’ve been digging into the markets lately, and one sector keeps catching my eye: defense stocks. In 2025, these companies are riding a wave of global demand, and one industry titan, in particular, is being hailed as a prime beneficiary of surging defense exports. Let’s unpack why this sector is heating up and whether it’s time to consider adding some firepower to your portfolio.

The Defense Sector’s Big Moment

The world feels a bit more unpredictable these days, doesn’t it? Geopolitical tensions, shifting alliances, and a growing need for advanced military technology have put defense companies in the spotlight. But it’s not just about conflict—global governments are modernizing their arsenals, and that’s creating a gold rush for aerospace and defense firms. Recent market analysis suggests that international demand for cutting-edge fighter jets, missile systems, and cybersecurity solutions is at an all-time high. And one company, a global leader in aerospace, is positioned to capture a massive slice of this pie.

Defense exports are reshaping the global market, with international sales driving unprecedented growth for top-tier firms.

– Financial analyst

What’s fueling this surge? For starters, international business now accounts for nearly 30% of the backlog for major defense contractors. Countries across Europe, Asia, and the Middle East are ramping up their defense budgets, and they’re turning to proven players for solutions. This isn’t just a short-term blip—analysts see this trend stretching well into the next decade.


Why One Defense Giant Stands Out

Not all defense stocks are created equal, and one company has caught the attention of Wall Street for all the right reasons. This global aerospace leader—let’s call it a prime beneficiary of the export boom—has a portfolio that includes some of the world’s most advanced fighter jets and missile systems. Analysts recently upgraded its rating, projecting more than 20% upside in its stock price over the next year. Why the optimism? It boils down to three key factors.

  • Global Reach: With international sales making up a significant chunk of its revenue, this company is perfectly positioned to capitalize on rising defense budgets worldwide.
  • Resilient Demand: Its flagship fighter jet, considered the gold standard in military aviation, faces little competition. Even countries hesitant to commit are finding few alternatives.
  • Undervalued Stock: Trading at a discount compared to its peers, this stock offers a compelling entry point for investors looking for value plays.

I’ve always believed that the best investments are those that combine strong fundamentals with a clear growth story. This company checks both boxes. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio sits at a modest 16.8, making it a bargain compared to other defense primes. Plus, its recent challenges—like losses in its missile programs—are now largely behind it, clearing the way for smoother sailing.


The Global Demand Driving Growth

Let’s zoom out for a moment. Why are defense exports booming? It’s not just about one company—it’s about a global shift. Governments are prioritizing national security like never before, and that means big contracts for firms that can deliver. From NATO allies upgrading their air forces to emerging markets investing in missile defense, the demand is broad and deep.

Take fighter jets, for example. The world’s most sophisticated aircraft aren’t just weapons—they’re symbols of power and technological prowess. Countries like Canada, which have waffled on commitments in the past, are now locking in orders. Why? Because there’s simply no substitute for the best-in-class technology these companies provide. This dynamic creates a moat for top defense firms, ensuring steady cash flows for years to come.

The global appetite for advanced military technology is insatiable, and only a handful of companies can meet that demand.

But it’s not just about jets. Missile systems, cybersecurity solutions, and even space technology are seeing unprecedented interest. As one analyst put it, the defense sector is becoming a multi-polar growth engine, with opportunities spanning every continent. For investors, this means diversification within the sector itself—no need to bet on just one product or region.


How Defense Stocks Stack Up in 2025

So, how does our prime beneficiary compare to the broader market? The numbers tell an interesting story. While the S&P 500 has stumbled, dropping 8% year-to-date, this defense giant has held its ground, down just 3%. Month-to-date, it’s even outperformed, climbing over 5% while the broader index lags. That’s the kind of resilience that makes investors sit up and take notice.

MetricDefense GiantS&P 500
Year-to-Date Performance-3%-8%
Month-to-Date Performance+5%Flat
Forward P/E Ratio16.820.1

What’s driving this outperformance? For one, defense stocks are less sensitive to economic cycles. While tech and consumer stocks get hammered by inflation or rising interest rates, defense firms benefit from long-term government contracts. In my experience, these stable cash flows are a godsend during volatile markets. Plus, with analysts projecting a 22% upside for this stock, the risk-reward ratio looks awfully tempting.


Risks to Consider

No investment is a slam dunk, and defense stocks are no exception. Geopolitical risks, for one, can be a double-edged sword. While tensions drive demand, sudden de-escalations could slow contract signings. There’s also the issue of program losses—our prime beneficiary took a hit last year due to missile program setbacks. While analysts believe these are behind the company, it’s a reminder that execution matters.

Then there’s valuation. While this stock trades at a discount now, a broader market rally could make it less of a bargain. Investors need to weigh whether the growth potential justifies the price. Personally, I think the international demand story is strong enough to outweigh these risks, but it’s worth keeping an eye on global developments.

  1. Monitor Geopolitical Shifts: Sudden peace talks or budget cuts could impact contract flows.
  2. Track Program Performance: Ensure the company avoids further losses in key programs.
  3. Assess Valuation: Compare the stock’s P/E ratio to peers to confirm it remains undervalued.

Is Now the Time to Invest?

So, should you rush out and buy defense stocks? Perhaps the most interesting aspect is the timing. With global demand soaring and one company trading at a discount, the stars seem to be aligning. But investing is about probabilities, not certainties. Here’s how I’d approach it.

First, consider your portfolio. If you’re heavy on tech or consumer stocks, adding a defense name could provide diversification. Second, look at the fundamentals. This company’s resilient demand and attractive valuation make it a strong contender. Finally, think long-term. Defense contracts often span decades, offering a level of stability that’s hard to find elsewhere.

Smart investors don’t chase trends—they find value where others aren’t looking.

– Financial strategist

In my view, the defense sector is one of those rare opportunities where macro trends and individual company performance align. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just dipping your toes into the market, this could be a chance to add some serious firepower to your portfolio. But as always, do your homework and weigh the risks.


Final Thoughts

The defense sector is having a moment, and it’s not hard to see why. With global governments pouring money into military modernization, companies at the forefront are reaping the rewards. One aerospace giant, in particular, stands out for its global reach, resilient demand, and undervalued stock. Could this be the investment you’ve been waiting for? Only time will tell, but the numbers—and the trends—are hard to ignore.

What do you think—would you bet on defense stocks in 2025? Or is there another sector catching your eye? Whatever your strategy, one thing’s clear: in today’s market, finding value is the name of the game.

The habit of saving is itself an education; it fosters every virtue, teaches self-denial, cultivates the sense of order, trains to forethought, and so broadens the mind.
— T.T. Munger
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Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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