Why Netflix’s Dip Below 200-Day Average Is a Buy Signal

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Oct 24, 2025

Netflix just dipped below its 200-day moving average, but experts see a golden opportunity. Is this the perfect time to buy? Click to find out why this could be a game-changer.

Financial market analysis from 24/10/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Have you ever watched a stock you love take a sudden dip and wondered if it’s a disaster or a golden opportunity? That’s exactly what’s happening with Netflix right now. The streaming giant recently slipped below its 200-day moving average, a key technical indicator that traders swear by. But here’s the twist: some top investors are calling this a prime moment to jump in. I’ve been following Netflix’s journey for years, and honestly, this dip feels like one of those moments where the market hands you a gift—if you know how to unwrap it.

Why Netflix’s Dip Is Turning Heads

The stock market can feel like a rollercoaster, and Netflix’s recent ride is no exception. After a stellar year with shares up 24%, the company hit a rough patch. A third-quarter earnings report that missed analyst expectations sent the stock tumbling 8% in a single week, with a jaw-dropping 10% drop in one day. By Friday, shares hit an intraday low of $1,100.15, slipping below the 200-day moving average of $1,115.43. For those unfamiliar, this metric is like a stock’s heartbeat—it shows the long-term trend and often signals whether a stock is in a healthy uptrend or a risky downtrend.

So, why the excitement? Well, some seasoned investors see this dip as a rare chance to buy into a powerhouse at a discount. I’ve always believed that market dips are like sales at your favorite store—sometimes, you just have to act fast.

The 200-Day Moving Average: What It Means

The 200-day moving average is a cornerstone of technical analysis. It’s calculated by averaging a stock’s closing price over the past 200 trading days, smoothing out short-term fluctuations to reveal the bigger picture. When a stock falls below this line, it can signal trouble—but it can also be a buying signal for savvy investors. For Netflix, this isn’t the first time it’s dipped below this threshold, and history suggests it could be a temporary blip.

The 200-day moving average has been a reliable guide for Netflix investors. It’s like a magnet—when the stock dips below, buyers often swoop in.

– Veteran market analyst

Why does this matter? Because Netflix has a track record of bouncing back. Over the past 12 years, the stock has closed below its 200-day moving average after a long uptrend seven times. In five of those cases, it posted positive returns after six months, with an average gain of 17%. Stretch that to 12 months, and the average return climbs to 25%. Numbers like that make you sit up and take notice.

Why Experts Are Bullish on Netflix

Some of the sharpest minds in finance are doubling down on Netflix right now. One prominent investor recently shared on a major financial show that he’s been adding to his Netflix position, confident that this dip is a fleeting opportunity. He called Netflix one of the “five most important technology platforms” out there. That’s a bold claim, but when you look at Netflix’s dominance in streaming, it’s hard to argue.

Another expert, a tech research guru, went even further, urging investors to “buy with both hands” if the stock stays below its 200-day moving average. Their optimism isn’t just blind faith—it’s backed by Netflix’s strong fundamentals. The company’s content pipeline is packed with hits, and its push into advertising is starting to pay off. These are the kinds of catalysts that can drive a stock higher, even after a stumble.

The Case for Buying the Dip

Let’s break down why this dip might be a golden ticket. Netflix isn’t just a streaming service—it’s a cultural juggernaut. From binge-worthy series to blockbuster films, it’s redefined how we consume entertainment. But beyond the glitz, there are solid reasons to consider investing now:

  • Content Dominance: Netflix’s slate of original programming keeps subscribers hooked, with new releases generating buzz worldwide.
  • Advertising Growth: The company’s ad-supported tier is gaining traction, opening a new revenue stream that could fuel future profits.
  • Global Reach: With millions of subscribers across the globe, Netflix’s scale gives it an edge over competitors.
  • Historical Resilience: Past dips below the 200-day moving average have often led to strong rebounds, as history shows.

Personally, I find the advertising angle particularly exciting. It’s like Netflix is building a second engine for growth, and the market might not be giving it enough credit yet.


What History Tells Us About Netflix’s Dips

Numbers don’t lie, and Netflix’s track record is telling. Let’s look at the data from the past 12 years when the stock dipped below its 200-day moving average after a sustained uptrend:

TimeframeAverage ReturnPositive Outcomes
6 Months17%5 out of 7
12 Months25%4 out of 7

This isn’t a guarantee, of course—investing never is. But it’s a compelling pattern. The stock’s ability to recover and thrive after these dips suggests that patient investors could be rewarded. I can’t help but think this is one of those moments where fear in the market creates opportunity for the bold.

Risks to Consider

No investment is a slam dunk, and Netflix is no exception. The streaming space is fiercely competitive, with rivals vying for subscribers. Plus, the recent earnings miss raises questions about whether Netflix can keep its growth streak alive. If the company stumbles on subscriber numbers or content costs spiral, the stock could face more pressure.

That said, Netflix has navigated choppy waters before. Its ability to innovate—think interactive shows or global content expansion—gives me confidence that it can stay ahead of the pack. Still, it’s worth asking: are you comfortable with the volatility that comes with a high-growth stock like this?

Investing in Netflix requires a stomach for volatility, but the rewards can be worth it for those who stay the course.

– Financial strategist

How to Approach This Opportunity

So, how do you play this dip? Here’s a step-by-step guide to consider:

  1. Assess Your Portfolio: Make sure Netflix fits your risk tolerance and investment goals.
  2. Start Small: Consider buying a small position to test the waters, especially if the stock stays below the 200-day moving average.
  3. Watch the Trend: Keep an eye on whether the stock bounces back above the 200-day moving average, signaling a potential uptrend.
  4. Stay Informed: Follow Netflix’s next earnings report for clues about subscriber growth and ad revenue.

I’ve always believed that timing the market perfectly is a fool’s errand. Instead, focus on the long game. Netflix’s dip might just be the entry point you’ve been waiting for.


Why Netflix Stands Out in Tech

Let’s zoom out for a second. Netflix isn’t just another stock—it’s a tech titan. Its ability to blend cutting-edge technology with storytelling sets it apart. From algorithms that recommend your next binge to a global streaming infrastructure, Netflix is as much a tech company as it is an entertainment one. This dual identity makes it a compelling pick for investors who want exposure to both innovation and culture.

Perhaps the most exciting part is Netflix’s adaptability. The company has pivoted from DVDs to streaming to original content to advertising, all while staying ahead of the curve. That kind of resilience is rare, and it’s why I think this dip is more of a speed bump than a roadblock.

Final Thoughts: Seize the Moment?

Netflix’s dip below its 200-day moving average has sparked a debate: is this a warning sign or a buying opportunity? The data, expert opinions, and Netflix’s track record lean toward the latter. With a strong content slate, growing ad revenue, and a history of bouncing back, the streaming giant looks poised for a comeback. But as with any investment, it’s not without risks.

In my experience, the best opportunities often come when the market overreacts. Netflix’s recent stumble feels like one of those moments. If you’re ready to take a calculated risk, this could be your chance to own a piece of a company that’s shaping the future of entertainment. What do you think—will you take the plunge?

Investment Formula:
  Strong Fundamentals + Market Dip = Potential Opportunity
Financial peace isn't the acquisition of stuff. It's learning to live on less than you make, so you can give money back and have money to invest. You can't win until you do this.
— Dave Ramsey
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Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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