Why Roku Stock Is Soaring in 2025 and Still Has Room to Run

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Dec 16, 2025

Roku shares are already up 47% this year, but Morgan Stanley thinks the best is yet to come—with a new $135 price target. What's fueling this streaming powerhouse's momentum, and could it keep climbing into 2026 and beyond?

Financial market analysis from 16/12/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Have you noticed how streaming has completely taken over our evenings? It’s hard to remember the last time I flipped through cable channels instead of firing up my Roku device to binge the latest show. And apparently, I’m not alone—millions are making the same switch, and that’s turning into serious money for one company in particular.

This year has been kind to streaming stocks, but few have performed as impressively as Roku. Shares are up substantially, catching the eye of even the most cautious investors. Recently, a major Wall Street firm made a bold move that has everyone talking.

A Major Vote of Confidence from Wall Street

Analysts don’t often flip their stance so dramatically, but that’s exactly what happened when one prominent bank double-upgraded Roku from a pessimistic underweight rating straight to overweight. They didn’t stop there—they boosted their price target significantly, suggesting there’s still meaningful upside left from current levels.

To me, that’s the kind of signal that makes you sit up and pay attention. It’s not every day you see such conviction behind a stock that’s already had a strong run. But when you dig into the reasons, it starts to make a lot of sense.

What’s Driving the Optimism?

The core of the bullish case rests on Roku’s platform business. While many people think of Roku as just a hardware company selling those little streaming sticks, the real growth engine is the software platform that runs on them—and increasingly on smart TVs from other manufacturers too.

Advertisers are pouring money into connected TV, or CTV as it’s known in the industry. Traditional linear TV budgets are shifting toward streaming, and Roku sits right in the middle of that transition with its massive user base.

As ad dollars continue moving from old-school TV to streaming platforms, companies with scale and strong execution stand to benefit the most.

I’ve followed tech trends for years, and this shift feels irreversible. Political advertising, sports rights migrating to streaming—it’s all accelerating the opportunity.

Platform Revenue Acceleration in the Second Half

One detail that caught my attention was the mention of accelerating platform revenue growth in the latter part of 2025. That’s not just seasonal strength; it suggests deeper partnerships and new monetization avenues are gaining traction.

Think about premium subscriptions, home screen advertising real estate, content partnerships—these aren’t one-off wins. They’re building blocks for sustained double-digit growth.

  • Deeper integration with major streaming services
  • Rising prices across subscription platforms indirectly benefiting ad-supported tiers
  • Expanding opportunities in programmatic advertising on CTV
  • Growing user engagement driving more hours viewed—and more ads served

When you combine these factors, it’s easier to see why analysts are getting more confident about consistent growth going forward.

Operating Leverage Starting to Kick In

Another aspect that’s easy to overlook is how revenue growth translates to the bottom line. Roku has been investing heavily in sales, marketing, and R&D—necessary spend to capture this massive market shift.

But as platform revenue scales, those fixed costs start to become a smaller percentage of the total. That’s classic operating leverage at work, and it’s particularly powerful for companies moving toward consistent profitability.

In my experience watching growth stocks, this is often the inflection point where valuations expand. The market begins pricing in not just current earnings, but the potential for meaningful margin expansion over time.

The Broader Connected TV Tailwinds

Perhaps the most interesting part is how Roku benefits from industry trends that are largely outside its direct control. The migration of premium content—like live sports and election coverage—to streaming platforms creates a rising tide.

Every time a major league signs a streaming deal or political ad spending shifts online, Roku’s devices become more valuable to both consumers and advertisers.

And with Roku powering screens in millions of households, they capture a disproportionate share of the viewing hours—and the ad impressions that come with them.

How Does the Valuation Look Today?

After such a strong yearly performance, valuation is always the key question. Is the growth already priced in, or is there still room to run?

Growth-oriented tech stocks often trade at premiums, especially when they’re demonstrating accelerating fundamentals. But if platform revenue continues growing at double-digit rates while margins expand, current multiples might actually prove reasonable.

Sustained platform growth remains the primary driver of valuation, particularly as profitability matures.

That’s the crux of the investment thesis. It’s not about hardware margins anymore—it’s about the recurring, high-margin revenue from the ecosystem Roku has built.

What Could Go Wrong? Considering the Risks

No investment discussion would be complete without acknowledging risks. Competition in streaming is fierce, and economic sensitivity around advertising spend is real.

A broader slowdown in ad budgets could pressure growth rates. Increased competition for ad dollars—from other CTV platforms or even traditional digital giants—remains a factor to monitor.

  • Potential cyclicality in advertising spending
  • Execution risks around new monetization initiatives
  • Hardware dependency if device sales slow dramatically
  • Broader market sentiment toward growth stocks

That said, Roku’s scale and neutral positioning—working with virtually all major streaming services rather than competing directly—provides a meaningful moat in my view.

The Bigger Picture for Streaming Investors

Zooming out, Roku represents a pure-play way to invest in the secular shift from linear TV to streaming. While many companies have pieces of this trend, few offer such direct exposure to the advertising monetization layer.

As cord-cutting accelerates and streaming households continue growing globally, the addressable market keeps expanding. Roku’s international expansion, though still early, adds another layer of potential growth.

I’ve found that the most compelling investment stories often combine strong secular tailwinds with improving company-specific execution. That’s exactly what appears to be unfolding here.

Final Thoughts on This Streaming Leader

At the end of the day, investing comes down to identifying companies benefiting from major behavioral shifts—and positioning yourself accordingly. The move to streaming entertainment isn’t a fad; it’s a fundamental change in how we consume media.

Roku has established itself as a key beneficiary of that change, with a platform that’s increasingly central to the ecosystem. Recent analyst enthusiasm reflects growing confidence that this story has multiple chapters left to write.

Whether you’re already a shareholder or considering a position, the combination of accelerating growth, operating leverage potential, and powerful industry tailwinds makes for an intriguing case. Of course, all investments carry risk, and doing your own research is essential.

But if the streaming revolution continues—and all signs point to yes—then Roku’s best days might still lie ahead.


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I think the internet is going to be one of the major forces for reducing the role of government. The one thing that's missing but that will soon be developed is a reliable e-cash.
— Milton Friedman
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Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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