Have you ever watched a coin that everyone wrote off suddenly wake up and remind the market why it still matters? That’s exactly what XRP has been doing these past few trading sessions, and honestly, the timing feels almost too perfect.
Sitting at $2.16 while I write this, Ripple’s native token has quietly strung together back-to-back green days while most of the market was still licking its wounds from November’s dip. And when you zoom out just a little, something fascinating appears – a setup that hasn’t been this clean in months.
So let me walk you through why a 40% move before New Year’s Eve suddenly doesn’t sound crazy anymore.
The Big Picture Nobody Is Talking About Yet
Let’s be real – XRP spent most of 2025 either consolidating or getting ignored while meme coins stole the headlines. But underneath the noise, something shifted in November. The price found rock-solid support at $1.85, bounced hard, and now the entire structure looks ready to flip from defensive to explosive.
I’ve traded enough cycles to know that the best rallies often start when sentiment is still skeptical. And right now? Most people are still asking “is XRP dead?” while the charts are screaming the exact opposite.
A Textbook Falling Wedge Ready to Break
Look at the three-day chart and you can’t unsee it: a massive falling wedge pattern that began forming way back in the summer. These patterns resolve upward roughly 70% of the time in crypto, and the fact that XRP held the lower trendline multiple times tells you the sellers are exhausted.
The moment we clear the upper trendline – currently sitting around $2.40 – the measured move takes us straight to $3.10. That’s not hopium; that’s simple chart math.
Add in the morning star reversal candle printed right at the wedge support and the developing inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily, and you start to understand why I’m having a hard time finding any meaningful bear case here.
Key Levels Every Trader Should Watch Right Now
- Immediate resistance: $2.40 (wedge top + psychological barrier)
- Next major target: $2.75 (November highs)
- Primary bull target: $3.00–$3.10 (wedge projection + 2021 swing high)
- Invalidation level: Close below $1.85 (would break the entire structure)
Until that $1.85 level cracks – and it’s held like concrete for over a year now – the path of least resistance remains higher.
ETF Inflows Are Quietly Going Parabolic
Remember when everyone laughed at the idea of XRP ETFs? Well, the joke’s on them. The four spot funds tracking the token have already pulled in more than $824 million in net inflows, and we’re not even finished with the year.
Major brokers are finally opening the gates. Word on the street is that one of the largest asset managers in the world is about to green-light client access to these products. When that announcement drops? Expect another flood of institutional money.
“We continue to see strong conviction from institutions looking for regulated exposure to digital assets beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum.”
– Head of Digital Assets at a top-10 U.S. brokerage (speaking anonymously)
Some analysts are throwing around $8 billion in first-year inflow estimates. Even if they’re off by half, that’s still massive buying pressure that has to go somewhere – directly into XRP price.
Open Interest Is Screaming “Short Squeeze Incoming”
Here’s a metric most retail traders completely ignore but institutions watch obsessively: futures open interest.
XRP OI crashed to $3.19 billion during the November washout – classic capitulation. Since then? It’s exploded back to $3.91 billion and keeps climbing. Rising open interest on higher prices is one of the strongest bullish confirmations you can get.
Translation: new money is piling in, and a lot of those late bears are about to get painfully squeezed.
Macro Tailwinds Nobody Saw Coming
Let’s zoom all the way out for a second.
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to resume cutting rates in December or January. Risk assets – especially ones with strong narratives like XRP – tend to front-run those cuts by weeks.
Then throw in the possibility of a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment next year, and you start to understand why December could be the perfect storm for Ripple’s token.
What Could Actually Stop This Rally?
Look, I’m bullish – but I’m not blind. There are always risks.
- A broader crypto market correction triggered by Bitcoin rolling over
- Unexpected regulatory headlines (though the worst seems priced in)
- Failure to break $2.40 convincingly, leading to range-bound trading
But here’s the thing: even in the worst-case scenario, $1.85 has proven itself as generational support. The risk/reward at current levels is heavily skewed to the upside.
My Personal Take After Watching XRP Since 2017
I’ve been around long enough to see XRP get declared dead more times than I can count. Every single cycle, the same pattern repeats: the crowd gives up, volume dries up, price coils for months… and then – boom – it rips everyone’s face off when they least expect it.
We’re in that exact setup right now. The only question is whether you want to be the person telling the story next year about “that one time XRP went to $3 in three weeks”… or the person living it.
As always, this isn’t financial advice. Markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent, etc. But from a pure probability standpoint? I’ve rarely seen XRP this loaded for a move.
December 2025 might just be the month XRP finally reminds everyone why it once sat comfortably in the top three.
See you at $3.
