Will Bitcoin Hit $150K Amid Profit-Taking Trends?

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Jul 17, 2025

Bitcoin's soaring to $150K, but traders have cashed out for 100 days straight. What's driving this rally, and can it last? Dive into the data and expert insights to find out...

Financial market analysis from 17/07/2025. Market conditions may have changed since publication.

Picture this: you’re scrolling through your phone, and a headline screams that Bitcoin just hit a jaw-dropping peak. It’s 2025, and the crypto world is buzzing with excitement, but there’s a catch—traders have been cashing out for 100 days straight. So, what’s the deal? Is Bitcoin’s meteoric rise to $150,000 a done deal, or are we in for a wild ride? Let’s unpack the trends, data, and whispers from the crypto world to figure out what’s next for the king of cryptocurrencies.

Why Bitcoin’s Rally Is Turning Heads

The crypto market has always been a rollercoaster, but Bitcoin’s recent surge is something else. After smashing through the $120,000 barrier, it’s got everyone—newbies and seasoned traders alike—wondering if $150,000 is the next stop. Despite traders pulling profits for over three months, the bullish vibe is undeniable. What’s fueling this fire? Let’s break it down.

A Record-Breaking Peak and What It Means

Bitcoin recently soared to an all-time high of $123,218, a milestone that had traders glued to their screens. But here’s the kicker: it didn’t hold. The price slipped to around $118,000, leaving investors wondering if this is a pause or a warning. Technical indicators, like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering at 68 and trending upward, suggest there’s still gas in the tank. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is flashing green bars, signaling that buyers are still in control—for now.

Looking at the charts, Bitcoin’s got a solid support level at $112,794, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement from its April low to July peak. If it holds this line, we could see a push toward $136,467 (127.2% Fibonacci) and even $153,320 (161.8% Fibonacci) if momentum stays strong. That $150,000 mark? It’s not just a number—it’s a psychological milestone that could spark even more frenzy.

The $150,000 target isn’t just a number; it’s a psychological beacon for traders, signaling Bitcoin’s growing dominance.

– Crypto market analyst

Profit-Taking: A Red Flag or Just Noise?

Here’s where things get spicy. For 100 days, Bitcoin holders have been cashing out, with on-chain data showing consistent spikes in the network realized profit/loss metric. This means long-term holders—some from the early days—are moving coins to over-the-counter (OTC) desks, likely locking in gains. I can’t help but wonder: is this a sign of doubt, or are savvy investors just playing the game?

Data from analytics platforms reveals that while profit-taking is real, it’s not enough to derail the rally. The supply of Bitcoin on exchanges has dipped, suggesting that some investors are pulling coins into cold storage rather than selling. This could mean the market is absorbing the selling pressure like a champ, keeping prices buoyant.

  • Profit-taking spikes: Consistent for 100 days, especially from early adopters.
  • Exchange supply drop: Less Bitcoin available for trading, hinting at long-term holding.
  • Market absorption: Buyers are stepping in, keeping prices stable despite sales.

Big Players and Big Bets

The crypto world isn’t just about retail traders anymore—big names are throwing their weight around. Take Silicon Valley’s Peter Thiel, who recently grabbed a 9% stake in a Bitcoin mining company, sending its stock through the roof. Moves like this aren’t just headlines; they signal serious confidence in Bitcoin’s future. When heavyweights like Thiel double down, it’s hard not to feel optimistic.

Then there’s the story of the Winklevoss brothers, whose $11 million Bitcoin bet in 2013 ballooned to $11 billion by 2025. That’s a 1000x return—talk about a glow-up! Stories like these fuel the Fear & Greed Index, which is screaming “greedy” this week. But greed isn’t always bad—it’s a sign that traders are all-in, pushing prices higher.

Institutional moves, like Thiel’s investment, are a green light for Bitcoin’s long-term growth.

– Financial strategist

The Political Push: Crypto’s New Ally?

Politics and crypto don’t always mix, but recent moves suggest that’s changing. A high-profile U.S. political figure recently announced plans to push crypto-friendly legislation, aiming to make America a leader in digital assets. While details are murky—bills on stablecoins and market structure have stalled before—this could be a game-changer. If lawmakers clear the path, Bitcoin could see even more institutional money pouring in.

But here’s the rub: legislation is a slow beast. Disagreements in Congress could delay things, and traders hate uncertainty. Still, the mere mention of pro-crypto policies is enough to keep the bulls charging. Could this be the spark that pushes Bitcoin past $150,000? I’m cautiously optimistic, but we’ll need to see action, not just promises.

What the Data Says: On-Chain Insights

Diving into the blockchain, the numbers tell a fascinating story. The total number of Bitcoin holders has climbed recently, showing growing interest. Yet, the percentage of Bitcoin supply on exchanges has dropped, even as profits soar. This suggests that while some traders are cashing out, others are hoarding—possibly betting on bigger gains.

Large wallet investors, or “whales,” are also making moves. One major player added 4,000 BTC to their stash at an average price of $111,000, buying every dip in 2025’s bull run. This kind of accumulation screams confidence, but it also raises a question: are retail traders getting squeezed out as institutions take over?

MetricTrendImplication
Bitcoin HoldersIncreasingGrowing adoption
Exchange SupplyDecreasingLong-term holding
Profit-TakingConsistentMarket absorbing pressure

Expert Voices Weigh In

The crypto community is buzzing with opinions, and experts are chiming in with their takes. One exchange CEO told me that $135,000 is the next big resistance level, but $150,000 is well within reach if ETF inflows and macro liquidity hold strong. They warned, though, that volatility is part of the deal—sharp corrections could pop up any time.

Bitcoin’s market is maturing, but profit-taking from long-term holders could cap explosive moves unless fresh demand kicks in.

– Risk management expert

Another voice, a marketing chief from a major crypto wallet, sees institutions as the driving force. With over $50 billion in ETF inflows and big players like BlackRock and MicroStrategy doubling down, they think Bitcoin’s dominance will keep other cryptocurrencies in check for now. It’s a reflexive rally, they say—not a full-on market shift yet.

Can Bitcoin Keep Climbing?

So, what’s the verdict? Bitcoin’s got the wind at its back, with technical indicators, institutional bets, and political tailwinds all pointing up. But the 100-day profit-taking streak is a reminder that nothing’s guaranteed. Traders are greedy, sure, but they’re also smart—cashing out while the going’s good.

My take? Bitcoin’s rally feels different this time. The market’s more mature, with deeper liquidity and bigger players. If it breaks past $130,000 with a strong daily close, $150,000 is no pipe dream. But don’t get too cozy—crypto’s never been a straight line. Expect bumps, dips, and maybe a few heart-stopping drops along the way.

  1. Watch the $130,000 level: A daily close above this could unlock new highs.
  2. Monitor ETF flows: Institutional money is the rocket fuel here.
  3. Stay nimble: Volatility is crypto’s middle name, so brace for corrections.

Bitcoin’s journey to $150,000 is a saga worth watching. It’s not just about price—it’s about a market coming of age, with new players, new rules, and new stakes. Whether you’re a trader, a hodler, or just crypto-curious, one thing’s clear: the next few months will be anything but boring. What’s your bet—will Bitcoin hit that magic number, or will profit-taking steal the show?

We should remember that there was never a problem with the paper qualities of a mortgage bond—the problem was that the house backing it could go down in value.
— Michael Lewis
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Steven Soarez passionately shares his financial expertise to help everyone better understand and master investing. Contact us for collaboration opportunities or sponsored article inquiries.

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