Remember when everyone laughed at the idea of a “Trump token”? Yeah, me too. Fast forward to December 2025 and World Liberty Financial (WLFI) is suddenly one of the most talked-about projects in the entire market. The price is bouncing between $0.14 and $0.16, the team just scooped up nearly $8 million worth of tokens, and half of Crypto Twitter is calling for $1+ by New Year. The other half is calling it the mother of all rug pulls.
So which side is right? Honestly, I’ve been in this game long enough to know that the truth is usually somewhere in the messy middle. Let’s break it all down without the hype, without the FUD, and see what the data actually tells us.
What Just Happened to WLFI?
Yesterday the WLFI treasury executed its largest buyback since launch: 46.56 million tokens for roughly $7.79 million. That single transaction reduced circulating supply by almost 1.5% in one go. For context, that’s like Apple suddenly retiring 1.5% of its float overnight – markets notice.
Price reaction was immediate. WLFI had dipped to $0.1428, tested the 50-day moving average, and then rocketed 13% in a few hours. Volume spiked to $178 million in 24h, which is massive for a token that was doing $20–30 million on quiet days just two weeks ago.
But here’s what most people miss: this wasn’t a random treasury decision. It was the resumption of a pre-announced buyback program that had been paused after a phishing incident before mainnet launch. The team basically said, “We’re back, we’re confident, and we’re putting our money where our mouth is.”
Why Buybacks Actually Matter (More Than You Think)
Token buybacks are the crypto equivalent of share buybacks in traditional markets. When done transparently and consistently, they achieve three things:
- Reduce circulating supply → built-in deflationary pressure
- Signal strong conviction from insiders
- Provide natural price support during dips
I’ve watched dozens of projects announce “buyback & burn” plans only to quietly abandon them when price dumps. The fact WLFI is following through – and doing it aggressively – is genuinely rare and, in my opinion, one of the strongest bullish signals a project can give.
Current Market Structure – The Technical Picture
Let’s look at the charts because, love them or hate them, price action doesn’t care about narratives.
WLFI is currently forming a textbook ascending triangle on the daily timeframe. The horizontal resistance sits around $0.169–$0.172 (all-time high zone) while the rising trendline support keeps getting higher. Volume profile shows heavy accumulation between $0.13–$0.15 – exactly where the buyback happened.
On-chain metrics are even more interesting:
- Active addresses up 68% in the last 7 days
- Exchange supply at 3-month lows (whales moving to cold storage)
- Realized capitalization jumping – meaning tokens changing hands at higher prices
All of these are classic signs of smart money accumulation rather than retail FOMO.
The Bull Case – Why $0.90–$1.20 Isn’t Crazy
Look, I’m not here to shill. But if certain things line up, the upside scenario is actually pretty compelling.
First, liquidity. Right now WLFI is mostly trading on decentralized exchanges and one mid-tier CEX. Every new major listing (especially if Binance or Coinbase finally cave) would bring 10-50x daily volume overnight. That alone could push price to $0.40–$0.50 on listing hype.
Second, adoption of the actual product. World Liberty Financial isn’t just a meme coin – it’s a DeFi suite targeting the “uncensored finance” crowd. If even 5% of the MAGA base starts using the lending/borrowing platform, TVL could explode past $500M in weeks. Higher TVL = more fees = more buybacks = higher price. Simple flywheel.
Third, the macro environment. Bitcoin is knocking on $100k, altcoin season indicators are flashing green, and risk-on appetite is returning. Political tokens historically go parabolic during U.S. election cycles and we’re heading into mid-terms soon.
“When narrative, technicals, and macro align, you get 10x moves that look insane in hindsight but were obvious on-chain.”
– Veteran crypto macro trader
Add regular buybacks on top of that and $0.90 by December 2025 starts looking conservative, not optimistic. Some analysts I respect are quietly calling for $1.50–$2.00 in a full-blown bull market.
The Bear Case – Why It Could Still Crash to $0.60 (or Lower)
I’d be doing you a disservice if I didn’t lay out the risks. They’re real.
- Regulatory guillotine – A Trump-backed token is a massive target for SEC Democrats. One Wells notice and it’s game over.
- Concentration risk – Top 10 wallets still hold >40% of supply. If any decide to exit…
- Celebrity token fatigue – We’ve seen this movie before. $TRUMP, $MELANIA, $BODEN – most end up -90% eventually.
- Opportunity cost – In a real altseason, established layer-1s and AI tokens might simply outperform.
If adoption stays low and regulators circle, $0.60–$0.70 would actually be a generous floor. I’ve seen far worse crashes in similar setups.
My Personal Price Targets for 2025
After looking at everything – on-chain data, historical analogs, macro backdrop, and the team’s execution so far – here’s how I’m mapping it out:
| Scenario | Probability | EOY 2025 Target |
| Bear (regulatory hit or low adoption) | 30% | $0.55 – $0.70 |
| Base (steady growth, 1-2 major listings) | 45% | $0.85 – $1.05 |
| Bull (TVL >$1B + altseason) | 20% | $1.40 – $2.10 |
That gives a weighted average expectation around $0.98 by the end of 2025. Not financial advice – just how I’m positioning my own portfolio (small allocation, high conviction if we clear $0.172 with volume).
Should You Buy WLFI Right Now?
Here’s my honest take:
If you’re the type who needs 100% certainty, stay away. This is high-risk, politically charged, and could go to zero.
But if you have a high risk tolerance and believe that (a) buybacks will continue, (b) at least one Tier-1 exchange listing is coming, and (c) the broader crypto bull market has legs… then the current $0.15–$0.16 zone looks like one of the better asymmetric bets in the market.
I’m personally dollar-cost averaging a small position below $0.16 and have standing buy orders all the way down to $0.12. My sell targets start at $0.48 (3x) with trailing stops after that.
Whatever you decide, never bet the rent money. Crypto is brutal, and political tokens are crypto on steroids.
Stay safe out there, and may your bags be heavy and your stops tighter.
